United Homes Group Stock Price Prediction
| UHG Stock | 6.04 0.20 3.21% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
63
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.88) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.352 |
Using United Homes hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of United Homes Group from the perspective of United Homes response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in United Homes to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying United because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
United Homes after-hype prediction price | USD 6.04 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
United |
United Homes After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of United Homes at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in United Homes or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of United Homes, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
United Homes Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting United Homes' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on United Homes' historical news coverage. United Homes' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.16 and 9.92, respectively. We have considered United Homes' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
United Homes is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of United Homes Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
United Homes Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as United Homes is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading United Homes backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with United Homes, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 3.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
6.04 | 6.04 | 0.00 |
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United Homes Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of November United Homes Group is traded for 6.04. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. United is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on United Homes is about 2108.7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.04. About 43.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.59. United Homes Group had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out United Homes Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.United Homes Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to United Homes' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict United Homes' future price movements. Getting to know how United Homes' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how United Homes may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SKY | Skyline | 0.43 | 10 per month | 1.91 | 0.04 | 3.69 | (2.86) | 11.17 | |
| UHG | United Homes Group | 0.11 | 5 per month | 3.64 | (0.02) | 7.79 | (6.00) | 17.32 | |
| GRBK | Green Brick Partners | (1.23) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.21 | (4.30) | 15.34 | |
| LEGH | Legacy Housing Corp | 0.25 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.93 | (2.95) | 9.53 | |
| HOVNP | Hovnanian Enterprises PFD | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.26 | (0.25) | 0.51 | (0.45) | 2.45 | |
| GRBK-PA | Green Brick Partners | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.82 | (0.01) | 1.66 | (1.47) | 4.55 | |
| UHGWW | United Homes Group | 0.01 | 1 per month | 7.30 | 0.1 | 16.25 | (11.63) | 37.00 | |
| CVCO | Cavco Industries | 4.47 | 8 per month | 1.36 | 0.12 | 3.90 | (2.91) | 11.92 | |
| FBIN | Fortune Brands Innovations | 3.12 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.50 | (2.72) | 10.07 | |
| ADD | Color Star Technology | (9.00) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 21.05 | (25.29) | 103.30 |
United Homes Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine United price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for United using various technical indicators. When you analyze United charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About United Homes Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of United Homes stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as United Homes Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of United Homes based on analysis of United Homes hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to United Homes's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to United Homes's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0916 | 0.14 | 0.0465 | 0.0589 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.85 | 0.81 | 0.91 | 1.11 |
Story Coverage note for United Homes
The number of cover stories for United Homes depends on current market conditions and United Homes' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that United Homes is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about United Homes' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
United Homes Short Properties
United Homes' future price predictability will typically decrease when United Homes' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of United Homes Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential United Homes' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. United Homes' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 55.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 56.7 M |
Complementary Tools for United Stock analysis
When running United Homes' price analysis, check to measure United Homes' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy United Homes is operating at the current time. Most of United Homes' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of United Homes' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move United Homes' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of United Homes to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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