Argan Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution
| AGX Stock | USD 352.09 0.00 0.00% |
Argan Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of Argan's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.085 | EPS Estimate Current Year 8.3595 | EPS Estimate Next Year 9.5507 | Wall Street Target Price 361 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 2.0963 |
Using Argan hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Argan Inc from the perspective of Argan response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Argan using Argan's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Argan using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Argan's stock price.
Argan Short Interest
An investor who is long Argan may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Argan and may potentially protect profits, hedge Argan with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 264.0171 | Short Percent 0.0385 | Short Ratio 1.92 | Shares Short Prior Month 652.8 K | 50 Day MA 341.4842 |
Argan Relative Strength Index
Argan Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Argan's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Argan. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Argan can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Argan Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Argan's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Argan.
Argan Implied Volatility | 0.88 |
Argan's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Argan Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Argan's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Argan stock will not fluctuate a lot when Argan's options are near their expiration.
Argan after-hype prediction price | USD 353.51 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Argan to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Argan contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Argan Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.055% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Argan trading at USD 352.09, that is roughly USD 0.19 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Argan's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Argan Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.88%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Argan Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Argan's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Argan's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Argan stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Argan's open interest, investors have to compare it to Argan's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Argan is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Argan. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Argan Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Argan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Argan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Argan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 0.0553 | 0.0553 |
| Check Argan Volatility | Backtest Argan | Information Ratio |
Argan Trading Date Momentum
| On February 09 2026 Argan Inc was traded for 352.09 at the closing time. Highest Argan's price during the trading hours was 372.18 and the lowest price during the day was 351.60 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 9th of February did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta to current price is 0.00% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Argan to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Argan
For every potential investor in Argan, whether a beginner or expert, Argan's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Argan Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Argan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Argan's price trends.Argan Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Argan stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Argan could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Argan by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Argan Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Argan stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Argan shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Argan stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Argan Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0553 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 361.89 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 358.62 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 20.58 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (9.80) |
Argan Risk Indicators
The analysis of Argan's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Argan's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting argan stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.47 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.02 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.63 | |||
| Variance | 21.43 | |||
| Downside Variance | 18.03 | |||
| Semi Variance | 16.18 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.86) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Argan
The number of cover stories for Argan depends on current market conditions and Argan's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Argan is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Argan's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Argan Short Properties
Argan's future price predictability will typically decrease when Argan's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Argan Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Argan's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Argan's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 525.1 M |
Additional Tools for Argan Stock Analysis
When running Argan's price analysis, check to measure Argan's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Argan is operating at the current time. Most of Argan's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Argan's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Argan's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Argan to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.