Armada Hflr Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| AHH Stock | USD 6.89 0.06 0.86% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Armada Hflr Pr on the next trading day is expected to be 6.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.22. Armada Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Armada Hflr's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 25th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Armada Hflr's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 7.995 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.035 | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.04) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.145 | Wall Street Target Price 8.1 |
Using Armada Hflr hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Armada Hflr Pr from the perspective of Armada Hflr response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Armada Hflr using Armada Hflr's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Armada using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Armada Hflr's stock price.
Armada Hflr Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Armada Hflr's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Armada. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Armada Hflr stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 6.8719 | Short Percent 0.0507 | Short Ratio 3.19 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.2 M | 50 Day MA 6.6444 |
Armada Hflr Pr Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Armada Hflr's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Armada. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Armada can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Armada Hflr Pr. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Armada Hflr Implied Volatility | 1.12 |
Armada Hflr's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Armada Hflr Pr stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Armada Hflr's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Armada Hflr stock will not fluctuate a lot when Armada Hflr's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Armada Hflr Pr on the next trading day is expected to be 6.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.22. Armada Hflr after-hype prediction price | USD 6.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Armada Hflr to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Armada Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Armada Hflr's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Armada Hflr's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Armada Hflr stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Armada Hflr's open interest, investors have to compare it to Armada Hflr's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Armada Hflr is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Armada. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Armada Hflr Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Armada price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Armada using various technical indicators. When you analyze Armada charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Armada Hflr Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Armada Hflr Pr on the next trading day is expected to be 6.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.22.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Armada Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Armada Hflr's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Armada Hflr Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Armada Hflr | Armada Hflr Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Armada Hflr Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Armada Hflr's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Armada Hflr's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5.19 and 8.60, respectively. We have considered Armada Hflr's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Armada Hflr stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Armada Hflr stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.8169 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0067 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.087 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0135 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.2203 |
Predictive Modules for Armada Hflr
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Armada Hflr Pr. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Armada Hflr After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Armada Hflr at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Armada Hflr or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Armada Hflr, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Armada Hflr Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Armada Hflr's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Armada Hflr's historical news coverage. Armada Hflr's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.20 and 8.60, respectively. We have considered Armada Hflr's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Armada Hflr is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Armada Hflr Pr is based on 3 months time horizon.
Armada Hflr Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Armada Hflr is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Armada Hflr backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Armada Hflr, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 1.70 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
6.89 | 6.90 | 0.15 |
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Armada Hflr Hype Timeline
On the 25th of January Armada Hflr Pr is traded for 6.89. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Armada is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 6.9 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.15%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Armada Hflr is about 5884.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.89. The company reported the last year's revenue of 708.47 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 42.49 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 193.02 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Armada Hflr to cross-verify your projections.Armada Hflr Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Armada Hflr's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Armada Hflr's future price movements. Getting to know how Armada Hflr's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Armada Hflr may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GOOD | Gladstone Commercial | 0.17 | 11 per month | 1.65 | (0.03) | 2.31 | (1.98) | 7.41 | |
| PKST | Peakstone Realty Trust | 0.08 | 9 per month | 1.59 | 0.06 | 2.95 | (2.35) | 12.25 | |
| CTO | CTO Realty Growth | 0.01 | 15 per month | 0.78 | 0.15 | 1.74 | (1.57) | 4.98 | |
| IVR | Invesco Mortgage Capital | 0.38 | 8 per month | 0.80 | 0.20 | 2.47 | (1.86) | 8.03 | |
| OLP | One Liberty Properties | (0.21) | 7 per month | 1.01 | (0.02) | 2.17 | (1.72) | 6.81 | |
| UHT | Universal Health Realty | (0.05) | 18 per month | 1.07 | 0.05 | 2.05 | (2.05) | 6.30 | |
| BFS | Saul Centers | (0.28) | 9 per month | 1.08 | 0.02 | 1.71 | (1.72) | 4.95 | |
| KREF | KKR Real Estate | 0.15 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.66 | (2.77) | 6.97 | |
| PSTL | Postal Realty Trust | 0.01 | 15 per month | 0.63 | 0.16 | 2.27 | (1.22) | 5.03 |
Other Forecasting Options for Armada Hflr
For every potential investor in Armada, whether a beginner or expert, Armada Hflr's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Armada Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Armada. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Armada Hflr's price trends.Armada Hflr Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Armada Hflr stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Armada Hflr could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Armada Hflr by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Armada Hflr Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Armada Hflr stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Armada Hflr shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Armada Hflr stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Armada Hflr Pr entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Armada Hflr Risk Indicators
The analysis of Armada Hflr's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Armada Hflr's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting armada stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.27 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.58 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.66 | |||
| Variance | 2.74 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.94 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.49 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.34) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Armada Hflr
The number of cover stories for Armada Hflr depends on current market conditions and Armada Hflr's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Armada Hflr is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Armada Hflr's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Armada Hflr Short Properties
Armada Hflr's future price predictability will typically decrease when Armada Hflr's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Armada Hflr Pr often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Armada Hflr's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Armada Hflr's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 102.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 70.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Armada Hflr to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Is Diversified REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Armada Hflr. If investors know Armada will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Armada Hflr listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 7.995 | Dividend Share 0.625 | Earnings Share 0.22 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.49) |
The market value of Armada Hflr Pr is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Armada that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Armada Hflr's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Armada Hflr's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Armada Hflr's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Armada Hflr's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Armada Hflr's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Armada Hflr is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Armada Hflr's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.