Armada Hflr Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

AHH Stock  USD 11.00  0.07  0.63%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Armada Hflr Pr on the next trading day is expected to be 11.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.23. Armada Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Armada Hflr's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of now, Armada Hflr's Asset Turnover is decreasing as compared to previous years. . The Armada Hflr's current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to increase to about 99.6 M, while Common Stock Shares Outstanding is projected to decrease to under 47.3 M.
A two period moving average forecast for Armada Hflr is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Armada Hflr Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Armada Hflr Pr on the next trading day is expected to be 11.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.23.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Armada Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Armada Hflr's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Armada Hflr Stock Forecast Pattern

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Armada Hflr Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Armada Hflr's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Armada Hflr's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.51 and 12.56, respectively. We have considered Armada Hflr's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
11.00
11.04
Expected Value
12.56
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Armada Hflr stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Armada Hflr stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.2024
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0238
MADMean absolute deviation0.1226
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.011
SAESum of the absolute errors7.235
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Armada Hflr Pr price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Armada Hflr. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Armada Hflr

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Armada Hflr Pr. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.5511.0712.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.9612.6414.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
10.8411.0211.19
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
12.7814.0415.58
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Armada Hflr. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Armada Hflr's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Armada Hflr's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Armada Hflr Pr.

Other Forecasting Options for Armada Hflr

For every potential investor in Armada, whether a beginner or expert, Armada Hflr's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Armada Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Armada. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Armada Hflr's price trends.

Armada Hflr Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Armada Hflr stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Armada Hflr could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Armada Hflr by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Armada Hflr Pr Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Armada Hflr's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Armada Hflr's current price.

Armada Hflr Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Armada Hflr stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Armada Hflr shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Armada Hflr stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Armada Hflr Pr entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Armada Hflr Risk Indicators

The analysis of Armada Hflr's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Armada Hflr's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting armada stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Armada Hflr Pr offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Armada Hflr's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Armada Hflr Pr Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Armada Hflr Pr Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Armada Hflr to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Diversified REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Armada Hflr. If investors know Armada will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Armada Hflr listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.97)
Dividend Share
0.81
Earnings Share
(0.22)
Revenue Per Share
11.212
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.13
The market value of Armada Hflr Pr is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Armada that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Armada Hflr's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Armada Hflr's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Armada Hflr's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Armada Hflr's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Armada Hflr's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Armada Hflr is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Armada Hflr's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.