Ashford Hospitality Preferred Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

Ashford Hospitality Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Ashford price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ashford using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ashford charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for Ashford Hospitality is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Ashford Hospitality Trust value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Ashford Hospitality Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ashford Hospitality Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 10.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.71, mean absolute percentage error of 1.25, and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.54.

Ashford Hospitality Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern

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Ashford Hospitality Price Prediction

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Ashford Hospitality Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ashford Hospitality preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ashford Hospitality preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Ashford Hospitality Trust. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Ashford Hospitality. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Ashford Hospitality

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ashford Hospitality Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 1.34 8.06 14.78 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 6.42 13.14 19.86 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 12.10 13.67 15.24 Details

Ashford Hospitality After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Ashford Hospitality Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Ashford Hospitality Preferred Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Ashford Hospitality Hype Timeline

Ashford Hospitality Trust is presently traded for 12.98. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.03. Ashford is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 8.06. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -37.9%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.31%. The volatility of related hype on Ashford Hospitality is about 7840.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.01. About 21.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company recorded a loss per share of 8.49. Ashford Hospitality Trust last dividend was issued on the 30th of March 2023. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ashford Hospitality to cross-verify your projections.

Ashford Hospitality Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Ashford Hospitality

For every potential investor in Ashford, whether a beginner or expert, Ashford Hospitality's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ashford Preferred Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ashford. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ashford Hospitality's price trends.

Ashford Hospitality Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Ashford Hospitality Market Strength Events

Ashford Hospitality Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Ashford Hospitality

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Ashford Hospitality Short Properties

Other Information on Investing in Ashford Preferred Stock