Rlj Lodging Trust Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 8.82 11.55 13.20 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 7.87 9.52 11.17 Details

9 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 12.29 13.50 14.99 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 0.05 0.05 0.05 Details

RLJ Lodging After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

RLJ Lodging Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

RLJ Lodging Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.10	1.66	0.01	0.00	9 Events / Month	6 Events / Month	In about 9 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
9.80	9.81	0.10	1,383   Notes

RLJ Lodging Hype Timeline

On the 22nd of November RLJ Lodging Trust is traded for 9.80. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. RLJ is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 9.81 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price surge on the next news is projected to be 0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.1%. The volatility of related hype on RLJ Lodging is about 18109.09%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.80. The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.33 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 76.41 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 363.06 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out RLJ Lodging Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

RLJ Lodging Related Hype Analysis

RLJ Lodging Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine RLJ price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for RLJ using various technical indicators. When you analyze RLJ charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of RLJ Lodging stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as RLJ Lodging Trust, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of RLJ Lodging based on analysis of RLJ Lodging hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for RLJ Lodging depends on current market conditions and RLJ Lodging's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that RLJ Lodging is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about RLJ Lodging's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

RLJ Lodging's future price predictability will typically decrease when RLJ Lodging's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of RLJ Lodging Trust often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential RLJ Lodging's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. RLJ Lodging's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Check out RLJ Lodging Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

Is Hotel & Resort REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of RLJ Lodging. If investors know RLJ will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about RLJ Lodging listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

The market value of RLJ Lodging Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of RLJ that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of RLJ Lodging's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is RLJ Lodging's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because RLJ Lodging's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect RLJ Lodging's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between RLJ Lodging's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if RLJ Lodging is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, RLJ Lodging's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.