Montana Technologies Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| AIRJ Stock | 4.26 0.13 3.15% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Montana Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 3.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.82. Montana Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Montana Technologies' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Montana Technologies' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Montana Technologies fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of Montana Technologies' share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.84) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.09) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.16 | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.31) | Wall Street Target Price 8.9375 |
Using Montana Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Montana Technologies from the perspective of Montana Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Montana Technologies using Montana Technologies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Montana using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Montana Technologies' stock price.
Montana Technologies Implied Volatility | 2.59 |
Montana Technologies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Montana Technologies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Montana Technologies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Montana Technologies stock will not fluctuate a lot when Montana Technologies' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Montana Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 3.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.82. Montana Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 4.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Montana Technologies to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Montana Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Montana Technologies' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Montana Technologies' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Montana Technologies stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Montana Technologies' open interest, investors have to compare it to Montana Technologies' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Montana Technologies is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Montana. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Montana Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Montana price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Montana using various technical indicators. When you analyze Montana charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Montana Technologies Cash Forecast
To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the Montana Technologies' financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 32.2 M | Current Value 33.8 M | Quarterly Volatility 11.4 M |
Montana Technologies Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 9th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Montana Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 3.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.82.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Montana Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Montana Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Montana Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Montana Technologies | Montana Technologies Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Montana Technologies Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Montana Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Montana Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 10.51, respectively. We have considered Montana Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Montana Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Montana Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.1921 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.161 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0392 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 9.8188 |
Predictive Modules for Montana Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Montana Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Montana Technologies
For every potential investor in Montana, whether a beginner or expert, Montana Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Montana Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Montana. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Montana Technologies' price trends.Montana Technologies Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Montana Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Montana Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Montana Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Montana Technologies Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Montana Technologies' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Montana Technologies' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Montana Technologies Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Montana Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Montana Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Montana Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Montana Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Montana Technologies Risk Indicators
The analysis of Montana Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Montana Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting montana stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.49 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.48 | |||
| Variance | 42.04 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Montana Technologies to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Montana Stock please use our How to buy in Montana Stock guide.You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Montana Technologies. If investors know Montana will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Montana Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Montana Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Montana that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Montana Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Montana Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Montana Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Montana Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Montana Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Montana Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Montana Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.