Airship AI Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| AISPW Stock | 1.05 0.14 15.38% |
Airship Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength indicator of Airship AI's share price is approaching 39. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Airship AI, making its price go up or down. Momentum 39
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.11) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.025 |
Using Airship AI hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Airship AI Holdings from the perspective of Airship AI response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Airship AI Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.07. Airship AI after-hype prediction price | USD 1.05 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Airship AI to cross-verify your projections. Airship AI Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Airship price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Airship using various technical indicators. When you analyze Airship charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Airship AI Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Airship AI Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.07.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Airship Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Airship AI's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Airship AI Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Airship AI | Airship AI Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Airship AI Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Airship AI's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Airship AI's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 10.29, respectively. We have considered Airship AI's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Airship AI stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Airship AI stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.7884 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1487 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1382 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 9.0696 |
Predictive Modules for Airship AI
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Airship AI Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Airship AI After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Airship AI at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Airship AI or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Airship AI, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Airship AI Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Airship AI's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Airship AI's historical news coverage. Airship AI's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 10.38, respectively. We have considered Airship AI's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Airship AI is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Airship AI Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Airship AI Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Airship AI is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Airship AI backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Airship AI, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 9.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.05 | 1.05 | 0.00 |
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Airship AI Hype Timeline
Airship AI Holdings is presently traded for 1.05. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Airship is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Airship AI is about 10724.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.05. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Airship AI to cross-verify your projections.Airship AI Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Airship AI's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Airship AI's future price movements. Getting to know how Airship AI's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Airship AI may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FATN | FatPipe Common Stock | (0.15) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 10.61 | (9.30) | 72.53 | |
| HAIVF | Haivision Systems | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.56 | 0.34 | 6.68 | (2.47) | 17.52 | |
| ZENV | Zenvia Inc | (0.11) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 4.67 | (7.09) | 15.64 | |
| VHC | VirnetX Holding Corp | 0.98 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 6.89 | (8.69) | 25.58 | |
| WHEN | World Health Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 24.80 | 0.20 | 100.00 | (50.00) | 150.00 | |
| SNCR | Synchronoss Technologies | 0.10 | 10 per month | 1.00 | 0.13 | 5.57 | (3.21) | 66.10 | |
| KPLT | Katapult Holdings | 0.05 | 8 per month | 3.24 | 0.02 | 5.04 | (5.23) | 24.35 | |
| BGOPF | Bango plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.67 | |
| AILE | iLearningEngines | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| DGGXF | DigitalX Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 18.67 | 0.17 | 117.39 | (56.19) | 360.76 |
Other Forecasting Options for Airship AI
For every potential investor in Airship, whether a beginner or expert, Airship AI's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Airship Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Airship. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Airship AI's price trends.Airship AI Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Airship AI stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Airship AI could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Airship AI by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Airship AI Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Airship AI stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Airship AI shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Airship AI stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Airship AI Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Airship AI Risk Indicators
The analysis of Airship AI's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Airship AI's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting airship stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 6.78 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.58 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 9.41 | |||
| Variance | 88.48 | |||
| Downside Variance | 49.58 | |||
| Semi Variance | 43.25 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (10.15) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Airship AI
The number of cover stories for Airship AI depends on current market conditions and Airship AI's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Airship AI is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Airship AI's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Airship AI Short Properties
Airship AI's future price predictability will typically decrease when Airship AI's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Airship AI Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Airship AI's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Airship AI's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 38.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 11.8 B | |
| Shares Float | 20.5 M |
Additional Tools for Airship Stock Analysis
When running Airship AI's price analysis, check to measure Airship AI's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Airship AI is operating at the current time. Most of Airship AI's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Airship AI's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Airship AI's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Airship AI to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.