AKA Brands Stock Forward View
| AKA Stock | USD 10.96 0.37 3.27% |
AKA Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast AKA Brands stock prices and determine the direction of AKA Brands Holding's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of AKA Brands' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, the value of RSI of AKA Brands' share price is approaching 46. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling AKA Brands, making its price go up or down. Momentum 46
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.50) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.54) | EPS Estimate Current Year (2.40) | EPS Estimate Next Year (1.70) | Wall Street Target Price 19.75 |
Using AKA Brands hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AKA Brands Holding from the perspective of AKA Brands response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of AKA Brands Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 10.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.10. AKA Brands after-hype prediction price | USD 10.96 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AKA Brands to cross-verify your projections. AKA Brands Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine AKA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AKA using various technical indicators. When you analyze AKA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
AKA Brands Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the AKA Brands' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2020-03-31 | Previous Quarter 23.1 M | Current Value 23.4 M | Quarterly Volatility 16.7 M |
AKA Brands Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of AKA Brands Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 10.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40, mean absolute percentage error of 0.31, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.10.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict AKA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that AKA Brands' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
AKA Brands Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest AKA Brands | AKA Brands Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
AKA Brands Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting AKA Brands' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. AKA Brands' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.23 and 14.44, respectively. We have considered AKA Brands' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of AKA Brands stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent AKA Brands stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.7716 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4048 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0334 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 25.0975 |
Predictive Modules for AKA Brands
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AKA Brands Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AKA Brands After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of AKA Brands at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AKA Brands or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of AKA Brands, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
AKA Brands Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting AKA Brands' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AKA Brands' historical news coverage. AKA Brands' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.85 and 15.07, respectively. We have considered AKA Brands' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
AKA Brands is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AKA Brands Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
AKA Brands Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AKA Brands is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AKA Brands backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AKA Brands, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 4.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
10.96 | 10.96 | 0.00 |
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AKA Brands Hype Timeline
On the 31st of January AKA Brands Holding is traded for 10.96. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. AKA is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on AKA Brands is about 9340.91%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.96. About 37.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.09. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. AKA Brands Holding recorded a loss per share of 2.46. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:12 split on the 2nd of October 2023. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AKA Brands to cross-verify your projections.AKA Brands Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to AKA Brands' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AKA Brands' future price movements. Getting to know how AKA Brands' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AKA Brands may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DIBS | 1StdibsCom | (0.09) | 8 per month | 2.28 | 0.19 | 9.58 | (4.63) | 23.12 | |
| BARK | BARK Inc | (0.02) | 11 per month | 3.06 | 0.01 | 10.61 | (5.71) | 30.25 | |
| CLAR | Clarus Corp | (0.04) | 4 per month | 2.33 | 0.03 | 3.66 | (3.78) | 18.58 | |
| COOK | Traeger | 0.20 | 10 per month | 5.04 | 0.03 | 10.99 | (9.80) | 37.58 | |
| PLBY | Plby Group | 0.26 | 10 per month | 4.19 | 0.05 | 6.43 | (7.10) | 33.37 | |
| NPT | Nuveen Premiumome Municipal | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CURV | Torrid Holdings | 0.02 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 11.30 | (9.35) | 34.61 | |
| SPWH | Sportsmans | 0.02 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 4.96 | (6.07) | 37.14 | |
| CJET | Chijet Motor Company | 0.11 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.40) | 9.23 | (22.15) | 60.91 | |
| CAAS | China Automotive Systems | (0.02) | 9 per month | 1.77 | 0 | 3.00 | (3.15) | 11.14 |
Other Forecasting Options for AKA Brands
For every potential investor in AKA, whether a beginner or expert, AKA Brands' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. AKA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in AKA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AKA Brands' price trends.AKA Brands Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AKA Brands stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AKA Brands could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AKA Brands by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
AKA Brands Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how AKA Brands stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading AKA Brands shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying AKA Brands stock market strength indicators, traders can identify AKA Brands Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
AKA Brands Risk Indicators
The analysis of AKA Brands' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AKA Brands' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aka stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.31 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.25 | |||
| Variance | 18.1 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for AKA Brands
The number of cover stories for AKA Brands depends on current market conditions and AKA Brands' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AKA Brands is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AKA Brands' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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AKA Brands Short Properties
AKA Brands' future price predictability will typically decrease when AKA Brands' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of AKA Brands Holding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential AKA Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AKA Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 24.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AKA Brands to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AKA Brands. If investors know AKA will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive AKA Brands assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.50) | Earnings Share (2.46) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate AKA Brands Holding using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating AKA Brands' intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause AKA Brands' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that AKA Brands' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether AKA Brands represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, AKA Brands' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.