Embotelladora Andina Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

AKO-B Stock  USD 17.69  0.24  1.38%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Embotelladora Andina SA on the next trading day is expected to be 17.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.59. Embotelladora Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Embotelladora Andina stock prices and determine the direction of Embotelladora Andina SA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Embotelladora Andina's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Embotelladora Andina's Inventory Turnover is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Payables Turnover is expected to grow to 5.78, whereas Receivables Turnover is forecasted to decline to 8.51. . The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 993.9 M, whereas Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is forecasted to decline to about 106.7 B.

Embotelladora Andina Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Embotelladora Andina's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1998-12-31
Previous Quarter
301.5 B
Current Value
232.4 B
Quarterly Volatility
96.5 B
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Embotelladora Andina is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Embotelladora Andina SA value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Embotelladora Andina Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Embotelladora Andina SA on the next trading day is expected to be 17.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27, mean absolute percentage error of 0.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.59.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Embotelladora Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Embotelladora Andina's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Embotelladora Andina Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Embotelladora AndinaEmbotelladora Andina Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Embotelladora Andina Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Embotelladora Andina's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Embotelladora Andina's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.64 and 19.72, respectively. We have considered Embotelladora Andina's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
17.69
17.68
Expected Value
19.72
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Embotelladora Andina stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Embotelladora Andina stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.8434
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2677
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0146
SAESum of the absolute errors16.5949
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Embotelladora Andina SA. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Embotelladora Andina. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Embotelladora Andina

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Embotelladora Andina. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.5817.6119.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.8316.8618.89
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
16.9717.5318.09
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
15.6217.1719.06
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Embotelladora Andina

For every potential investor in Embotelladora, whether a beginner or expert, Embotelladora Andina's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Embotelladora Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Embotelladora. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Embotelladora Andina's price trends.

Embotelladora Andina Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Embotelladora Andina stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Embotelladora Andina could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Embotelladora Andina by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Embotelladora Andina Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Embotelladora Andina's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Embotelladora Andina's current price.

Embotelladora Andina Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Embotelladora Andina stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Embotelladora Andina shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Embotelladora Andina stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Embotelladora Andina SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Embotelladora Andina Risk Indicators

The analysis of Embotelladora Andina's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Embotelladora Andina's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting embotelladora stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Embotelladora Stock

Embotelladora Andina financial ratios help investors to determine whether Embotelladora Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Embotelladora with respect to the benefits of owning Embotelladora Andina security.