Entech SE Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| ALESE Stock | 9.68 0.07 0.73% |
Entech Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Entech SE's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Entech SE's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Entech SE fundamentals over time.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Entech SE's stock price is slightly above 69. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Entech, making its price go up or down. Momentum 69
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.52) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.045 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.325 | Wall Street Target Price 11.9 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.408 |
Using Entech SE hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Entech SE SAS from the perspective of Entech SE response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Entech SE SAS on the next trading day is expected to be 9.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.91. Entech SE after-hype prediction price | EUR 9.69 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Entech |
Entech SE Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Entech price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Entech using various technical indicators. When you analyze Entech charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Entech SE Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Entech SE SAS on the next trading day is expected to be 9.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.91.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Entech Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Entech SE's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Entech SE Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Entech SE | Entech SE Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Entech SE Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Entech SE's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Entech SE's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.30 and 12.07, respectively. We have considered Entech SE's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Entech SE stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Entech SE stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.2041 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0415 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1485 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0164 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.909 |
Predictive Modules for Entech SE
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Entech SE SAS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Entech SE's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Entech SE After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Entech SE at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Entech SE or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Entech SE, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Entech SE Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Entech SE's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Entech SE's historical news coverage. Entech SE's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.30 and 12.08, respectively. We have considered Entech SE's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Entech SE is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Entech SE SAS is based on 3 months time horizon.
Entech SE Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Entech SE is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Entech SE backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Entech SE, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.33 | 2.39 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 2 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
9.68 | 9.69 | 0.10 |
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Entech SE Hype Timeline
Entech SE SAS is presently traded for 9.68on Euronext Paris of France. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Entech is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 9.69 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is forecasted to be 0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.33%. The volatility of related hype on Entech SE is about 5957.13%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.69. The company reported the revenue of 46.98 M. Net Loss for the year was (802.03 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 13.54 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Entech SE to cross-verify your projections.Entech SE Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Entech SE's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Entech SE's future price movements. Getting to know how Entech SE's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Entech SE may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LHYFE | Lhyfe SA | 0.01 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.15 | (2.71) | 10.91 | |
| HDF | Hydrogene De France | 0.02 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.81 | (2.93) | 19.71 | |
| ALOKW | Groupe OKwind | 0.01 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 10.00 | (8.33) | 46.19 | |
| ALCWE | Charwood Energy SA | 0.04 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 5.44 | (4.55) | 13.75 | |
| ALHAF | Haffner Energy SA | (0.01) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 22.78 | (13.68) | 60.71 | |
| MLCMG | CMG Cleantech SA | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 0.00 | (6.25) | 7.69 | |
| ALAGP | Agripower France Sa | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.07 | (0.02) | 6.00 | (3.85) | 15.44 | |
| ARVEN | ARVERNE GROUP | 0.05 | 2 per month | 0.98 | (0.05) | 2.05 | (1.96) | 7.64 | |
| ALAGO | E Pango SA | (0) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 14.29 | (14.29) | 76.76 | |
| MLBSP | Blue Shark Power | 0.28 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 10.00 | (2.44) | 33.03 |
Other Forecasting Options for Entech SE
For every potential investor in Entech, whether a beginner or expert, Entech SE's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Entech Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Entech. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Entech SE's price trends.Entech SE Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Entech SE stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Entech SE could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Entech SE by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Entech SE Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Entech SE stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Entech SE shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Entech SE stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Entech SE SAS entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Entech SE Risk Indicators
The analysis of Entech SE's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Entech SE's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting entech stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.68 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.7 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.34 | |||
| Variance | 5.47 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.24 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.89 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.02) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Entech SE
The number of cover stories for Entech SE depends on current market conditions and Entech SE's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Entech SE is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Entech SE's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Entech SE Short Properties
Entech SE's future price predictability will typically decrease when Entech SE's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Entech SE SAS often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Entech SE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Entech SE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 12.8 M |
Additional Tools for Entech Stock Analysis
When running Entech SE's price analysis, check to measure Entech SE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Entech SE is operating at the current time. Most of Entech SE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Entech SE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Entech SE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Entech SE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.