Alfresa Holdings OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

ALFRY Stock  USD 15.14  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Alfresa Holdings Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 15.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.74 and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.17. Alfresa OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The value of RSI of Alfresa Holdings' share price is at 51. This suggests that the otc stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Alfresa Holdings, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 51

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Alfresa Holdings Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Alfresa Holdings shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Alfresa Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Alfresa Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Alfresa Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Alfresa Holdings Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Alfresa Holdings based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Alfresa Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Alfresa Holdings Corp from the perspective of Alfresa Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Alfresa Holdings Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 15.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.74 and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.17.

Alfresa Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 15.14  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out fundamental analysis of Alfresa Holdings to check your projections.

Alfresa Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Alfresa price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alfresa using various technical indicators. When you analyze Alfresa charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Alfresa Holdings price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Alfresa Holdings Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 19th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Alfresa Holdings Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 15.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.74, mean absolute percentage error of 0.98, and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.17.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Alfresa OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Alfresa Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Alfresa Holdings OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Alfresa Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Alfresa Holdings' OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Alfresa Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.02 and 19.57, respectively. We have considered Alfresa Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
15.14
15.30
Expected Value
19.57
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Alfresa Holdings otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Alfresa Holdings otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.088
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.7404
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0529
SAESum of the absolute errors45.1659
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Alfresa Holdings Corp historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Alfresa Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alfresa Holdings Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.8615.1419.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.4014.6818.96
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Alfresa Holdings

For every potential investor in Alfresa, whether a beginner or expert, Alfresa Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Alfresa OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Alfresa. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Alfresa Holdings' price trends.

Alfresa Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Alfresa Holdings otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Alfresa Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alfresa Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Alfresa Holdings Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Alfresa Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Alfresa Holdings' current price.

Alfresa Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Alfresa Holdings otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Alfresa Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Alfresa Holdings otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Alfresa Holdings Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Alfresa Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Alfresa Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Alfresa Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting alfresa otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Alfresa OTC Stock Analysis

When running Alfresa Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Alfresa Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alfresa Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Alfresa Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alfresa Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alfresa Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alfresa Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.