Intrasense Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

ALINS Stock  EUR 0.26  0.01  3.70%   
Intrasense Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Intrasense's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Intrasense's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Intrasense fundamentals over time.
At this time the rsi of Intrasense's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Intrasense's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Intrasense, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Intrasense's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.08)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.05)
Wall Street Target Price
0.2
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.333
Using Intrasense hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Intrasense from the perspective of Intrasense response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Intrasense on the next trading day is expected to be 0.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.46.

Intrasense after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 0.26  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Intrasense to cross-verify your projections.

Intrasense Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Intrasense price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Intrasense using various technical indicators. When you analyze Intrasense charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Intrasense price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Intrasense Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 7th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Intrasense on the next trading day is expected to be 0.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.46.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Intrasense Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Intrasense's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Intrasense Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Intrasense  Intrasense Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Intrasense Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Intrasense's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Intrasense's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 3.11, respectively. We have considered Intrasense's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.26
0.24
Expected Value
3.11
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Intrasense stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Intrasense stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.9425
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0076
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.031
SAESum of the absolute errors0.4635
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Intrasense historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Intrasense

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intrasense. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Intrasense's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.263.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.213.09
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.02-0.02-0.02
Details

Intrasense After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Intrasense at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Intrasense or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Intrasense, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Intrasense Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Intrasense's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Intrasense's historical news coverage. Intrasense's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 3.14, respectively. We have considered Intrasense's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.26
0.26
After-hype Price
3.14
Upside
Intrasense is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Intrasense is based on 3 months time horizon.

Intrasense Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Intrasense is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Intrasense backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Intrasense, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.10 
2.88
 0.00  
 0.00  
1 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.26
0.26
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Intrasense Hype Timeline

Intrasense is presently traded for 0.26on Euronext Paris of France. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Intrasense is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on Intrasense is about 9931.03%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.26. About 57.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.12. Intrasense had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 2032:1969 split on the 26th of May 2021. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be very soon.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Intrasense to cross-verify your projections.

Intrasense Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Intrasense's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Intrasense's future price movements. Getting to know how Intrasense's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Intrasense may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ALNFLNFL Biosciences SAS 0.03 1 per month 4.22  0.03  8.74 (8.41) 28.06 
AELISAelis Farma SA(0.49)1 per month 4.55  0.07  6.60 (6.16) 54.01 
ALVALValbiotis SAS 0.04 1 per month 4.21  0.12  15.49 (6.61) 67.87 
ALAMAAMA Corp PLC 0.00 2 per month 0.00 (0.04) 7.14 (6.67) 22.29 
ALPREPredilife(0.06)3 per month 2.32  0.01  5.32 (3.54) 22.75 
ALBIOBiosynex 0.02 5 per month 2.85  0.15  17.24 (6.90) 37.06 
ALTHXTheranexus SA 0.20 1 per month 4.03  0.05  7.37 (6.14) 19.81 
MLLABMedia Lab SpA 0.00 4 per month 0.00 (0.02) 5.29 (2.25) 38.38 
POXELPoxel SA(0.03)2 per month 5.20  0.02  15.15 (11.43) 84.17 
ALEMGEuromedis Groupe SA 0.00 0 per month 0.45  0.02  2.30 (1.01) 7.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Intrasense

For every potential investor in Intrasense, whether a beginner or expert, Intrasense's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Intrasense Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Intrasense. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Intrasense's price trends.

Intrasense Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Intrasense stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Intrasense could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Intrasense by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Intrasense Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Intrasense stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Intrasense shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Intrasense stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Intrasense entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Intrasense Risk Indicators

The analysis of Intrasense's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Intrasense's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting intrasense stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Intrasense

The number of cover stories for Intrasense depends on current market conditions and Intrasense's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Intrasense is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Intrasense's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Intrasense Short Properties

Intrasense's future price predictability will typically decrease when Intrasense's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Intrasense often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Intrasense's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intrasense's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding52.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments930 K

Additional Tools for Intrasense Stock Analysis

When running Intrasense's price analysis, check to measure Intrasense's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Intrasense is operating at the current time. Most of Intrasense's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Intrasense's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Intrasense's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Intrasense to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.