Alamo Energy Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| ALME Stock | USD 0.0001 0.00 0.000003% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Alamo Energy Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Alamo Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Alamo Energy stock prices and determine the direction of Alamo Energy Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Alamo Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the value of relative strength index of Alamo Energy's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.807 |
Using Alamo Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Alamo Energy Corp from the perspective of Alamo Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Alamo Energy Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Alamo Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 1.0E-4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Alamo Energy to cross-verify your projections. Alamo Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Alamo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alamo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Alamo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Alamo Energy Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Alamo Energy's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 428.4 | Current Value 406.98 | Quarterly Volatility 70.8 K |
Alamo Energy Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Alamo Energy Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Alamo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Alamo Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Alamo Energy Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Alamo Energy | Alamo Energy Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Alamo Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Alamo Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Alamo Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Alamo Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Alamo Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Alamo Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 61.4946 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Alamo Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alamo Energy Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Alamo Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Alamo Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Alamo Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Alamo Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Alamo Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Alamo Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Alamo Energy's historical news coverage. Alamo Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Alamo Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Alamo Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Alamo Energy Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Alamo Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Alamo Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Alamo Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Alamo Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.00 |
|
Alamo Energy Hype Timeline
Alamo Energy Corp is presently traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Alamo is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Alamo Energy is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Alamo Energy Corp had 30:1 split on the 16th of December 2009. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Alamo Energy to cross-verify your projections.Alamo Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Alamo Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Alamo Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Alamo Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Alamo Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NWOL | North West Oil Group | 0.00 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| IGPG | Ignis Petroleum Group | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SGLRF | Spyglass Resources Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| XLEFF | XXL Energy Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8,033 | |
| TRSI | Trophy Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 18.18 | (25.00) | 77.27 | |
| OOAG | OMDA Oil and | 0.00 | 6 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | |
| TEGR | Terra Energy Resource | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| LBYE | Liberty Energy Corp | 0.00 | 9 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| RYPE | Royalite Petroleum | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SVSE | Silver Star Energy | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Alamo Energy
For every potential investor in Alamo, whether a beginner or expert, Alamo Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Alamo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Alamo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Alamo Energy's price trends.Alamo Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Alamo Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Alamo Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alamo Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Alamo Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Alamo Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Alamo Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Alamo Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Alamo Energy Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.0E-4 |
Story Coverage note for Alamo Energy
The number of cover stories for Alamo Energy depends on current market conditions and Alamo Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Alamo Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Alamo Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Alamo Energy to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alamo Energy. If investors know Alamo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alamo Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Alamo Energy Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alamo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alamo Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alamo Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alamo Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alamo Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alamo Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alamo Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alamo Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.