Aeluma Stock Forecast - Relative Strength Index
| ALMU Stock | 17.02 0.96 5.98% |
Aeluma Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Aeluma's share price is approaching 47. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Aeluma, making its price go up or down. Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.02) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.18) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.34) | Wall Street Target Price 25.5 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.01) |
Using Aeluma hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aeluma from the perspective of Aeluma response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Aeluma using Aeluma's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Aeluma using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Aeluma's stock price.
Aeluma Short Interest
An investor who is long Aeluma may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Aeluma and may potentially protect profits, hedge Aeluma with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 13.6536 | Short Percent 0.0858 | Short Ratio 2.73 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.4 M | 50 Day MA 16.736 |
Aeluma Relative Strength Index
Aeluma Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Aeluma's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Aeluma. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Aeluma can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Aeluma. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Aeluma's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Aeluma.
Aeluma Implied Volatility | 1.23 |
Aeluma's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Aeluma stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Aeluma's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Aeluma stock will not fluctuate a lot when Aeluma's options are near their expiration.
Aeluma after-hype prediction price | USD 16.07 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aeluma to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Aeluma contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Aeluma will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0769% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Aeluma trading at USD 17.02, that is roughly USD 0.0131 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Aeluma's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Aeluma options at the current volatility level of 1.23%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Aeluma Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Aeluma's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Aeluma's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Aeluma stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Aeluma's open interest, investors have to compare it to Aeluma's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Aeluma is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Aeluma. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Aeluma Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Aeluma price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aeluma using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aeluma charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Check Aeluma Volatility | Backtest Aeluma | Information Ratio |
Aeluma Trading Date Momentum
| On January 27 2026 Aeluma was traded for 17.02 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 17.02 and the lowest listed price was 16.06 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on January 27, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 5.64% . |
| Compare Aeluma to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Aeluma
For every potential investor in Aeluma, whether a beginner or expert, Aeluma's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Aeluma Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Aeluma. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Aeluma's price trends.Aeluma Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Aeluma stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Aeluma could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aeluma by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Aeluma Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Aeluma stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Aeluma shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Aeluma stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Aeluma entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Aeluma Risk Indicators
The analysis of Aeluma's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Aeluma's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aeluma stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.95 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.06 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.26 | |||
| Variance | 27.63 | |||
| Downside Variance | 27.54 | |||
| Semi Variance | 25.64 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.85) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Aeluma
The number of cover stories for Aeluma depends on current market conditions and Aeluma's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aeluma is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aeluma's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Aeluma Short Properties
Aeluma's future price predictability will typically decrease when Aeluma's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Aeluma often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Aeluma's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aeluma's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 15.7 M |
Additional Tools for Aeluma Stock Analysis
When running Aeluma's price analysis, check to measure Aeluma's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aeluma is operating at the current time. Most of Aeluma's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aeluma's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aeluma's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aeluma to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.