Alexanders Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| ALX Stock | USD 244.90 1.61 0.66% |
Alexanders Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The value of RSI of Alexanders' stock price is slightly above 62. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Alexanders, making its price go up or down. Momentum 62
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Oversold | Overbought |
Using Alexanders hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Alexanders from the perspective of Alexanders response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Alexanders on the next trading day is expected to be 236.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.68 and the sum of the absolute errors of 407.77. Alexanders after-hype prediction price | USD 244.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Alexanders Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Alexanders price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alexanders using various technical indicators. When you analyze Alexanders charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Alexanders Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Alexanders on the next trading day is expected to be 236.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.68, mean absolute percentage error of 59.22, and the sum of the absolute errors of 407.77.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Alexanders Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Alexanders' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Alexanders Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Alexanders | Alexanders Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Alexanders Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Alexanders' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Alexanders' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 235.50 and 238.30, respectively. We have considered Alexanders' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Alexanders stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Alexanders stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.1917 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 6.6848 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0299 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 407.7722 |
Predictive Modules for Alexanders
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alexanders. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Alexanders After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Alexanders at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Alexanders or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Alexanders, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Alexanders Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Alexanders' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Alexanders' historical news coverage. Alexanders' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 243.50 and 246.30, respectively. We have considered Alexanders' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Alexanders is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Alexanders is based on 3 months time horizon.
Alexanders Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Alexanders is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Alexanders backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Alexanders, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 1.40 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
244.90 | 244.90 | 0.00 |
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Alexanders Hype Timeline
On the 1st of February Alexanders is traded for 244.90. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. Alexanders is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.18%. %. The volatility of related hype on Alexanders is about 1324.32%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 244.92. About 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.13. Alexanders last dividend was issued on the 10th of November 2025. The entity had 1:1 split on the 28th of December 1970. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Alexanders to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Alexanders Stock please use our How to Invest in Alexanders guide.Alexanders Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Alexanders' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Alexanders' future price movements. Getting to know how Alexanders' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Alexanders may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CIM | Chimera Investment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.19 | (0.01) | 2.51 | (1.93) | 10.81 | |
| AAT | American Assets Trust | 0.43 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.95 | (1.61) | 7.09 | |
| ESRT | Empire State Realty | 0.12 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.81 | (3.01) | 7.09 | |
| ALEX | Alexander Baldwin Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1.09 | (0.78) | 38.16 | |
| ORC | Orchid Island Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.97 | 0.13 | 2.24 | (1.28) | 6.99 | |
| XHR | Xenia Hotels Resorts | 0.19 | 6 per month | 1.20 | 0.11 | 3.01 | (2.13) | 7.84 | |
| JBGS | JBG SMITH Properties | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.97 | (2.61) | 6.30 |
Other Forecasting Options for Alexanders
For every potential investor in Alexanders, whether a beginner or expert, Alexanders' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Alexanders Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Alexanders. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Alexanders' price trends.Alexanders Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Alexanders stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Alexanders could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alexanders by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Alexanders Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Alexanders stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Alexanders shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Alexanders stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Alexanders entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Alexanders Risk Indicators
The analysis of Alexanders' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Alexanders' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting alexanders stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.12 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.09 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Variance | 1.96 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.57 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.19 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.34) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Alexanders
The number of cover stories for Alexanders depends on current market conditions and Alexanders' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Alexanders is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Alexanders' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Alexanders Short Properties
Alexanders' future price predictability will typically decrease when Alexanders' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Alexanders often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Alexanders' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alexanders' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 338.5 M |
Additional Tools for Alexanders Stock Analysis
When running Alexanders' price analysis, check to measure Alexanders' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alexanders is operating at the current time. Most of Alexanders' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alexanders' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alexanders' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alexanders to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.