Amgen Stock Forward View - Relative Strength Index
| AMGN Stock | USD 384.32 16.52 4.49% |
Amgen Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Amgen's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Amgen's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Amgen fundamentals over time.
As of today the rsi of Amgen's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.136 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 5.1808 | EPS Estimate Current Year 22.3184 | EPS Estimate Next Year 22.9961 | Wall Street Target Price 340 |
Using Amgen hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Amgen Inc from the perspective of Amgen response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Amgen using Amgen's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Amgen using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Amgen's stock price.
Amgen Short Interest
An investor who is long Amgen may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Amgen and may potentially protect profits, hedge Amgen with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 301.9583 | Short Percent 0.026 | Short Ratio 5.1 | Shares Short Prior Month 15 M | 50 Day MA 333.6942 |
Amgen Relative Strength Index
Amgen Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Amgen's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Amgen. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Amgen can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Amgen Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Amgen's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Amgen.
Amgen Implied Volatility | 0.33 |
Amgen's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Amgen Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Amgen's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Amgen stock will not fluctuate a lot when Amgen's options are near their expiration.
Amgen after-hype prediction price | USD 368.11 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amgen to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Amgen contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Amgen Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0206% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Amgen trading at USD 384.32, that is roughly USD 0.0793 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Amgen's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Amgen Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.33%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Amgen Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Amgen's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Amgen's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Amgen stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Amgen's open interest, investors have to compare it to Amgen's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Amgen is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Amgen. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Amgen Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Amgen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Amgen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Amgen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Check Amgen Volatility | Backtest Amgen | Information Ratio |
Amgen Trading Date Momentum
| On February 06 2026 Amgen Inc was traded for 384.32 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 385.12 and the lowest listed price was 367.80 . The trading volume for the day was 3.8 M. The trading history from February 6, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 4.30% . |
| Compare Amgen to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Amgen
For every potential investor in Amgen, whether a beginner or expert, Amgen's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Amgen Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Amgen. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Amgen's price trends.Amgen Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Amgen stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Amgen could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Amgen by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Amgen Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Amgen stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Amgen shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Amgen stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Amgen Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 172682.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.9538 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.04 | |||
| Day Median Price | 376.46 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 379.08 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 16.12 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 16.52 |
Amgen Risk Indicators
The analysis of Amgen's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Amgen's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting amgen stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.36 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.18 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.05 | |||
| Variance | 4.22 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.53 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.38 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.48) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Amgen
The number of cover stories for Amgen depends on current market conditions and Amgen's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Amgen is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Amgen's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Amgen Short Properties
Amgen's future price predictability will typically decrease when Amgen's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Amgen Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Amgen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amgen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 542 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9.1 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amgen to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Will Biotechnology sector continue expanding? Could Amgen diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Amgen. If investors know Amgen will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Amgen data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.136 | Earnings Share 15.38 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.124 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Amgen Inc using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Amgen's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Amgen's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Amgen's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Amgen represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Amgen's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.