Amot Investments Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

AMOT Stock  ILS 2,445  49.00  1.96%   
Amot Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Amot Investments stock prices and determine the direction of Amot Investments's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Amot Investments' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, the value of RSI of Amot Investments' share price is approaching 42. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Amot Investments, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 42

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Amot Investments' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Amot Investments, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Amot Investments hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Amot Investments from the perspective of Amot Investments response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Amot Investments on the next trading day is expected to be 2,570 with a mean absolute deviation of 67.59 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4,190.

Amot Investments after-hype prediction price

    
  ILA 2445.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amot Investments to cross-verify your projections.

Amot Investments Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Amot price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Amot using various technical indicators. When you analyze Amot charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Amot Investments price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Amot Investments Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 31st of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Amot Investments on the next trading day is expected to be 2,570 with a mean absolute deviation of 67.59, mean absolute percentage error of 6,224, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4,190.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Amot Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Amot Investments' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Amot Investments Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Amot Investments  Amot Investments Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Amot Investments Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Amot Investments' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Amot Investments' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2,569 and 2,572, respectively. We have considered Amot Investments' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2,445
2,570
Expected Value
2,572
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Amot Investments stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Amot Investments stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria128.6846
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation67.5873
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0266
SAESum of the absolute errors4190.4111
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Amot Investments historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Amot Investments

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amot Investments. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,4432,4452,447
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,9791,9802,690
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
2,4142,5882,763
Details

Amot Investments After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Amot Investments at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Amot Investments or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Amot Investments, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Amot Investments Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Amot Investments' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Amot Investments' historical news coverage. Amot Investments' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2,443 and 2,447, respectively. We have considered Amot Investments' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2,445
2,445
After-hype Price
2,447
Upside
Amot Investments is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Amot Investments is based on 3 months time horizon.

Amot Investments Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Amot Investments is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Amot Investments backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Amot Investments, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.09 
1.56
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2,445
2,445
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Amot Investments Hype Timeline

Amot Investments is presently traded for 2,445on Tel Aviv Stock Exchange of Israel. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Amot is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Amot Investments is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2,445. About 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.25. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Amot Investments last dividend was issued on the 27th of November 2022. The entity had 1:1 split on the 18th of January 2015. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amot Investments to cross-verify your projections.

Amot Investments Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Amot Investments' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Amot Investments' future price movements. Getting to know how Amot Investments' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Amot Investments may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MVNEMivne Real Estate 0.00 0 per month 1.17  0.05  3.21 (2.09) 8.03 
ALHEAlony Hetz Properties 0.00 0 per month 1.57  0.02  3.32 (2.63) 10.75 
AFPRAfi Properties 0.00 0 per month 1.04  0.12  2.93 (1.95) 6.50 
ARPTAirport City 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.08) 2.33 (2.28) 8.61 
BIGBig Shopping Centers 0.00 0 per month 1.22  0.05  2.33 (1.99) 7.93 
GVYMGavYam Lands Corp 0.00 0 per month 1.95 (0.02) 3.96 (2.87) 9.75 
MLSRMelisron 0.00 0 per month 1.30 (0.01) 2.04 (2.01) 12.26 
AURAAura Investments 0.00 0 per month 2.33 (0) 4.42 (3.42) 18.09 
MGORMega Or 0.00 0 per month 1.56  0.24  4.98 (3.14) 20.19 
BLSRBlue Square Real 0.00 0 per month 1.31  0.13  3.82 (2.45) 14.49 

Other Forecasting Options for Amot Investments

For every potential investor in Amot, whether a beginner or expert, Amot Investments' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Amot Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Amot. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Amot Investments' price trends.

Amot Investments Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Amot Investments stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Amot Investments could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Amot Investments by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Amot Investments Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Amot Investments stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Amot Investments shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Amot Investments stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Amot Investments entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Amot Investments Risk Indicators

The analysis of Amot Investments' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Amot Investments' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting amot stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Amot Investments

The number of cover stories for Amot Investments depends on current market conditions and Amot Investments' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Amot Investments is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Amot Investments' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Amot Stock

Amot Investments financial ratios help investors to determine whether Amot Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Amot with respect to the benefits of owning Amot Investments security.