American Manganese Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| AMY Stock | CAD 0.11 0.01 10.00% |
American Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength momentum indicator of American Manganese's share price is approaching 44. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling American Manganese, making its price go up or down. Momentum 44
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Wall Street Target Price 1.3 |
Using American Manganese hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of American Manganese from the perspective of American Manganese response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of American Manganese on the next trading day is expected to be 0.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.35. American Manganese after-hype prediction price | CAD 0.11 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
American |
American Manganese Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine American price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American using various technical indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
American Manganese Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of American Manganese on the next trading day is expected to be 0.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000069, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.35.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict American Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that American Manganese's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
American Manganese Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest American Manganese | American Manganese Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
American Manganese Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting American Manganese's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. American Manganese's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 6.36, respectively. We have considered American Manganese's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of American Manganese stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent American Manganese stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 108.5355 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0018 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0058 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0436 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.3524 |
Predictive Modules for American Manganese
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Manganese. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.American Manganese After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of American Manganese at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in American Manganese or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of American Manganese, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
American Manganese Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting American Manganese's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on American Manganese's historical news coverage. American Manganese's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 6.36, respectively. We have considered American Manganese's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
American Manganese is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of American Manganese is based on 3 months time horizon.
American Manganese Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as American Manganese is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading American Manganese backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with American Manganese, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.63 | 6.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.11 | 0.11 | 0.00 |
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American Manganese Hype Timeline
American Manganese is presently traded for 0.11on TSX Venture Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. American is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.63%. %. The volatility of related hype on American Manganese is about 9.223372036854776E16%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.11. The book value of the company was presently reported as 0.06. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. American Manganese had 0:1 split on the 26th of August 1998. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of American Manganese to cross-verify your projections.American Manganese Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to American Manganese's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict American Manganese's future price movements. Getting to know how American Manganese's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how American Manganese may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SAM | Starcore International Mines | 0.05 | 4 per month | 5.58 | 0.20 | 14.41 | (12.04) | 35.95 | |
| AAN | Aton Resources | 0.09 | 3 per month | 4.11 | 0.14 | 14.00 | (10.00) | 54.46 | |
| SRL | Salazar Resources Limited | (0.01) | 4 per month | 3.10 | 0.15 | 7.14 | (4.76) | 27.79 | |
| CRI | Churchill Resources | (0.08) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 12.00 | (15.38) | 46.62 | |
| GSP | Gensource Potash | (0.01) | 1 per month | 5.07 | 0.12 | 16.67 | (12.50) | 50.00 | |
| EAM | East Africa Metals | (0.04) | 9 per month | 4.71 | 0.06 | 15.79 | (9.09) | 33.57 |
Other Forecasting Options for American Manganese
For every potential investor in American, whether a beginner or expert, American Manganese's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. American Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in American. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying American Manganese's price trends.American Manganese Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with American Manganese stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of American Manganese could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Manganese by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
American Manganese Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how American Manganese stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading American Manganese shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying American Manganese stock market strength indicators, traders can identify American Manganese entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
American Manganese Risk Indicators
The analysis of American Manganese's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in American Manganese's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting american stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.28 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.24 | |||
| Variance | 38.99 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for American Manganese
The number of cover stories for American Manganese depends on current market conditions and American Manganese's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that American Manganese is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about American Manganese's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for American Stock Analysis
When running American Manganese's price analysis, check to measure American Manganese's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Manganese is operating at the current time. Most of American Manganese's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Manganese's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Manganese's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Manganese to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.