American Manganese OTC Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average

AMYZF Stock  USD 0.09  0  4.26%   
American OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of American Manganese's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 30th of January 2026, the value of RSI of American Manganese's share price is approaching 41. This suggests that the otc stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling American Manganese, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 41

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
American Manganese stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of American Manganese shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of American Manganese's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of American Manganese and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from American Manganese's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with American Manganese, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of American Manganese based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using American Manganese hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of American Manganese from the perspective of American Manganese response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of American Manganese on the next trading day is expected to be 0.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.30.

American Manganese after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.09  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of American Manganese to cross-verify your projections.

American Manganese Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine American price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American using various technical indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for American Manganese is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

American Manganese Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 31st of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of American Manganese on the next trading day is expected to be 0.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000045, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.30.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict American OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that American Manganese's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

American Manganese OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest American Manganese  American Manganese Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

American Manganese Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting American Manganese's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. American Manganese's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0009 and 6.20, respectively. We have considered American Manganese's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.09
0.0009
Downside
0.09
Expected Value
6.20
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of American Manganese otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent American Manganese otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria106.2615
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0013
MADMean absolute deviation0.005
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0454
SAESum of the absolute errors0.2997
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of American Manganese price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of American Manganese. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for American Manganese

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Manganese. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.096.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.086.19
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as American Manganese. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against American Manganese's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, American Manganese's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in American Manganese.

American Manganese After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of American Manganese at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in American Manganese or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of American Manganese, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

American Manganese Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting American Manganese's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on American Manganese's historical news coverage. American Manganese's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 6.20, respectively. We have considered American Manganese's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.09
0.09
After-hype Price
6.20
Upside
American Manganese is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of American Manganese is based on 3 months time horizon.

American Manganese OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as American Manganese is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading American Manganese backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with American Manganese, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.55 
6.11
 0.00  
  0.02 
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.09
0.09
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

American Manganese Hype Timeline

American Manganese is presently traded for 0.09. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. American is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.55%. %. The volatility of related hype on American Manganese is about 13886.36%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.07. The book value of the company was presently reported as 0.09. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.07. American Manganese had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of American Manganese to cross-verify your projections.

American Manganese Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to American Manganese's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict American Manganese's future price movements. Getting to know how American Manganese's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how American Manganese may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ESKYFEskay Mining Corp(0.60)2 per month 5.87  0.19  17.65 (10.00) 79.89 
NVLHFNevada Lithium Resources 0.16 2 per month 3.99 (0.01) 8.33 (7.69) 29.17 
NMREFNamibia Critical Metals 0.00 0 per month 6.38  0.04  14.29 (12.50) 35.58 
FTMDFFortune Minerals Limited 0.00 0 per month 6.07  0.09  16.67 (14.29) 47.62 
WHYRFWest High Yield 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.02) 8.00 (9.09) 45.56 
ELTLFElementos Limited 0.00 5 per month 0.00  0.12  0.00 (3.23) 230.00 
SAGGFSterling Metals Corp 0.00 0 per month 3.74  0.02  9.38 (6.34) 23.19 
RGVNFRegent Ventures 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CATPFGiyani Metals Corp 0.00 0 per month 18.93  0.15  83.33 (45.45) 295.45 
PMYLFBoab Metals Limited 0.00 0 per month 3.52  0.15  16.00 (10.34) 95.83 

Other Forecasting Options for American Manganese

For every potential investor in American, whether a beginner or expert, American Manganese's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. American OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in American. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying American Manganese's price trends.

American Manganese Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with American Manganese otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of American Manganese could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Manganese by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

American Manganese Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how American Manganese otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading American Manganese shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying American Manganese otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify American Manganese entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

American Manganese Risk Indicators

The analysis of American Manganese's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in American Manganese's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting american otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for American Manganese

The number of cover stories for American Manganese depends on current market conditions and American Manganese's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that American Manganese is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about American Manganese's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in American OTC Stock

American Manganese financial ratios help investors to determine whether American OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in American with respect to the benefits of owning American Manganese security.