American Manganese OTC Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

AMYZF Stock  USD 0.09  0  4.44%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of American Manganese on the next trading day is expected to be 0.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.17. American OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of American Manganese's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for American Manganese - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When American Manganese prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in American Manganese price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of American Manganese.

American Manganese Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of American Manganese on the next trading day is expected to be 0.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000017, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.17.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict American OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that American Manganese's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

American Manganese OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest American ManganeseAmerican Manganese Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

American Manganese Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting American Manganese's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. American Manganese's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0009 and 6.13, respectively. We have considered American Manganese's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.09
0.0009
Downside
0.09
Expected Value
6.13
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of American Manganese otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent American Manganese otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -8.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0029
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0383
SAESum of the absolute errors0.1707
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past American Manganese observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older American Manganese observations.

Predictive Modules for American Manganese

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Manganese. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.096.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.076.11
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as American Manganese. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against American Manganese's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, American Manganese's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in American Manganese.

Other Forecasting Options for American Manganese

For every potential investor in American, whether a beginner or expert, American Manganese's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. American OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in American. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying American Manganese's price trends.

View American Manganese Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

American Manganese Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of American Manganese's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of American Manganese's current price.

American Manganese Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how American Manganese otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading American Manganese shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying American Manganese otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify American Manganese entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

American Manganese Risk Indicators

The analysis of American Manganese's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in American Manganese's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting american otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in American OTC Stock

American Manganese financial ratios help investors to determine whether American OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in American with respect to the benefits of owning American Manganese security.