Amazon Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution
| AMZN Stock | USD 239.30 2.43 1.01% |
Amazon Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Amazon's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Amazon's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Amazon fundamentals over time.
As of today, the value of RSI of Amazon's share price is approaching 49. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Amazon, making its price go up or down. Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.364 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.86 | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.0895 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.8982 | Wall Street Target Price 296.2882 |
Using Amazon hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Amazon Inc from the perspective of Amazon response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Amazon using Amazon's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Amazon using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Amazon's stock price.
Amazon Short Interest
An investor who is long Amazon may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Amazon and may potentially protect profits, hedge Amazon with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 221.4988 | Short Percent 0.0081 | Short Ratio 2.02 | Shares Short Prior Month 73.4 M | 50 Day MA 232.4082 |
Amazon Relative Strength Index
Amazon Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Amazon's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Amazon. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Amazon can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Amazon Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Amazon's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Amazon.
Amazon Implied Volatility | 0.4 |
Amazon's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Amazon Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Amazon's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Amazon stock will not fluctuate a lot when Amazon's options are near their expiration.
Amazon after-hype prediction price | USD 239.32 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amazon to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Amazon contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Amazon Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.025% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Amazon trading at USD 239.3, that is roughly USD 0.0598 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Amazon's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Amazon Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.4%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Amazon Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Amazon's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Amazon's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Amazon stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Amazon's open interest, investors have to compare it to Amazon's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Amazon is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Amazon. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Amazon Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Amazon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Amazon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Amazon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 1.2 M | 1.1 M |
| Check Amazon Volatility | Backtest Amazon | Information Ratio |
Amazon Trading Date Momentum
| On January 30 2026 Amazon Inc was traded for 239.30 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 243.32 and the lowest listed price was 237.64 . The trading volume for the day was 46.6 M. The trading history from January 30, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 0.25% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Amazon to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Amazon
For every potential investor in Amazon, whether a beginner or expert, Amazon's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Amazon Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Amazon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Amazon's price trends.Amazon Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Amazon stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Amazon could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Amazon by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Amazon Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Amazon stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Amazon shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Amazon stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Amazon Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1.1 M | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.43) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 240.48 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 240.09 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (2.39) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (2.43) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 49.46 |
Amazon Risk Indicators
The analysis of Amazon's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Amazon's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting amazon stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.39 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.7 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.05 | |||
| Variance | 4.21 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.73 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.89 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.34) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Amazon
The number of cover stories for Amazon depends on current market conditions and Amazon's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Amazon is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Amazon's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Amazon Short Properties
Amazon's future price predictability will typically decrease when Amazon's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Amazon Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Amazon's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amazon's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.7 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 101.2 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amazon to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Will Broadline Retail sector continue expanding? Could Amazon diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Amazon. If investors know Amazon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Amazon data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.364 | Earnings Share 7.08 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.134 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Amazon Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Amazon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Amazon's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Amazon's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Amazon's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Amazon's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Amazon's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Amazon represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Amazon's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.