Andersons Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

ANDE Stock  USD 53.03  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of The Andersons on the next trading day is expected to be 51.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.95 and the sum of the absolute errors of 58.05. Andersons Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Andersons stock prices and determine the direction of The Andersons's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Andersons' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the value of rsi of Andersons' share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Andersons' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Andersons and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Andersons' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with The Andersons, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Andersons' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.26)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.6467
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.72
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.255
Wall Street Target Price
62.5
Using Andersons hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of The Andersons from the perspective of Andersons response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Andersons using Andersons' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Andersons using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Andersons' stock price.

Andersons Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Andersons' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Andersons. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Andersons stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
41.4962
Short Percent
0.0298
Short Ratio
1.99
Shares Short Prior Month
679.9 K
50 Day MA
50.5654

Andersons Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Andersons' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Andersons. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Andersons can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around The Andersons. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Andersons' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Andersons.

Andersons Implied Volatility

    
  0.61  
Andersons' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of The Andersons stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Andersons' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Andersons stock will not fluctuate a lot when Andersons' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of The Andersons on the next trading day is expected to be 51.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.95 and the sum of the absolute errors of 58.05.

Andersons after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 52.63  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Andersons to cross-verify your projections.
At present, Andersons' Fixed Asset Turnover is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. . The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 158.3 M, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is forecasted to decline to about 30 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Andersons Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Andersons' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Andersons' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Andersons stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Andersons' open interest, investors have to compare it to Andersons' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Andersons is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Andersons. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Andersons Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Andersons price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Andersons using various technical indicators. When you analyze Andersons charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Andersons Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Andersons' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1995-12-31
Previous Quarter
351 M
Current Value
86.8 M
Quarterly Volatility
118.4 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Andersons is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of The Andersons value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Andersons Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of The Andersons on the next trading day is expected to be 51.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.95, mean absolute percentage error of 1.46, and the sum of the absolute errors of 58.05.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Andersons Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Andersons' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Andersons Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest AndersonsAndersons Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Andersons Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Andersons' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Andersons' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 49.84 and 54.00, respectively. We have considered Andersons' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
53.03
51.92
Expected Value
54.00
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Andersons stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Andersons stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.4922
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.9516
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0194
SAESum of the absolute errors58.0489
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of The Andersons. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Andersons. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Andersons

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Andersons. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Andersons' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
50.5552.6354.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
47.1861.1163.19
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
48.6452.4556.27
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
56.8862.5069.38
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Andersons

For every potential investor in Andersons, whether a beginner or expert, Andersons' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Andersons Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Andersons. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Andersons' price trends.

Andersons Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Andersons stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Andersons could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Andersons by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Andersons Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Andersons' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Andersons' current price.

Andersons Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Andersons stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Andersons shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Andersons stock market strength indicators, traders can identify The Andersons entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Andersons Risk Indicators

The analysis of Andersons' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Andersons' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting andersons stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Andersons is a strong investment it is important to analyze Andersons' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Andersons' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Andersons Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Andersons to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the AI Portfolio Prophet module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
Is Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Andersons. If investors know Andersons will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Andersons listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.26)
Dividend Share
0.775
Earnings Share
2.13
Revenue Per Share
340.118
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.022
The market value of Andersons is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Andersons that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Andersons' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Andersons' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Andersons' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Andersons' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Andersons' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Andersons is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Andersons' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.