Anghami De Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

ANGH Stock  USD 0.77  0.05  6.94%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Anghami De on the next trading day is expected to be 0.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.96. Anghami Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Anghami De's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of now, Anghami De's Asset Turnover is decreasing as compared to previous years. . The Anghami De's current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 28.5 M, while Net Loss is projected to decrease to (16.8 M).

Anghami De Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Anghami De's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
6.2 M
Current Value
3.3 M
Quarterly Volatility
1.8 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Anghami De is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Anghami De value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Anghami De Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Anghami De on the next trading day is expected to be 0.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0004, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.96.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Anghami Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Anghami De's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Anghami De Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Anghami DeAnghami De Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Anghami De Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Anghami De's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Anghami De's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 3.78, respectively. We have considered Anghami De's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.77
0.76
Expected Value
3.78
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Anghami De stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Anghami De stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.1937
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0157
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0194
SAESum of the absolute errors0.9583
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Anghami De. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Anghami De. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Anghami De

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Anghami De. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.773.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.694.807.83
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
15.4717.0018.87
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Anghami De. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Anghami De's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Anghami De's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Anghami De.

Other Forecasting Options for Anghami De

For every potential investor in Anghami, whether a beginner or expert, Anghami De's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Anghami Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Anghami. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Anghami De's price trends.

Anghami De Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Anghami De stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Anghami De could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Anghami De by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Anghami De Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Anghami De's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Anghami De's current price.

Anghami De Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Anghami De stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Anghami De shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Anghami De stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Anghami De entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Anghami De Risk Indicators

The analysis of Anghami De's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Anghami De's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting anghami stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Anghami De offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Anghami De's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Anghami De Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Anghami De Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Anghami De to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Anghami Stock please use our How to Invest in Anghami De guide.
You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Is Movies & Entertainment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Anghami De. If investors know Anghami will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Anghami De listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.60)
Revenue Per Share
1.566
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.18)
Return On Assets
(0.36)
The market value of Anghami De is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Anghami that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Anghami De's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Anghami De's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Anghami De's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Anghami De's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Anghami De's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Anghami De is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Anghami De's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.