Anghami De Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| ANGH Stock | USD 2.28 0.01 0.44% |
Anghami Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Anghami De's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 16th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Anghami De's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Wall Street Target Price 17 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.626 |
Using Anghami De hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Anghami De from the perspective of Anghami De response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Anghami De on the next trading day is expected to be 2.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.37. Anghami De after-hype prediction price | USD 2.27 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Anghami De to cross-verify your projections. Anghami De Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Anghami price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Anghami using various technical indicators. When you analyze Anghami charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Anghami De Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 17th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Anghami De on the next trading day is expected to be 2.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.37.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Anghami Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Anghami De's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Anghami De Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Anghami De | Anghami De Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Anghami De Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Anghami De's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Anghami De's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 12.16, respectively. We have considered Anghami De's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Anghami De stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Anghami De stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.7057 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0108 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1395 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0425 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.3717 |
Predictive Modules for Anghami De
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Anghami De. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Anghami De After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Anghami De at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Anghami De or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Anghami De, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Anghami De Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Anghami De's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Anghami De's historical news coverage. Anghami De's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.11 and 12.23, respectively. We have considered Anghami De's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Anghami De is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Anghami De is based on 3 months time horizon.
Anghami De Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Anghami De is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Anghami De backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Anghami De, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 9.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.28 | 2.27 | 0.00 |
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Anghami De Hype Timeline
Anghami De is presently traded for 2.28. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Anghami is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Anghami De is about 59280.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.28. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.9. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Anghami De recorded a loss per share of 10.84. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:10 split on the 4th of August 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Anghami De to cross-verify your projections.Anghami De Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Anghami De's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Anghami De's future price movements. Getting to know how Anghami De's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Anghami De may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CPOP | Pop Culture Group | 0.16 | 31 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 6.98 | (7.50) | 25.24 | |
| HWAL | Hollywall Entertainment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 7.85 | 0.03 | 25.42 | (18.67) | 65.51 | |
| AMFL | American Films | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 15.60 | (14.53) | 55.07 | |
| DLPN | Dolphin Entertainment | (0.01) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 6.12 | (4.35) | 17.06 | |
| WRIT | WRIT Media Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 11.63 | 0.01 | 42.86 | (32.14) | 162.93 | |
| VNUE | VNUE Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 24.78 | (23.00) | 178.67 | |
| MVNC | Marvion | 0.00 | 0 per month | 13.00 | 0.07 | 34.19 | (30.00) | 105.21 | |
| APHP | American Picture House | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 13.33 | (19.00) | 48.08 | |
| CEXE | Circle Entertainment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Anghami De
For every potential investor in Anghami, whether a beginner or expert, Anghami De's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Anghami Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Anghami. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Anghami De's price trends.Anghami De Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Anghami De stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Anghami De could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Anghami De by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Anghami De Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Anghami De stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Anghami De shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Anghami De stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Anghami De entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Anghami De Risk Indicators
The analysis of Anghami De's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Anghami De's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting anghami stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.27 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.81 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 9.59 | |||
| Variance | 91.89 | |||
| Downside Variance | 27.59 | |||
| Semi Variance | 23.15 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.76) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Anghami De
The number of cover stories for Anghami De depends on current market conditions and Anghami De's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Anghami De is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Anghami De's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Anghami De Short Properties
Anghami De's future price predictability will typically decrease when Anghami De's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Anghami De often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Anghami De's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Anghami De's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 14.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Anghami De to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Anghami Stock please use our How to Invest in Anghami De guide.You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Is there potential for Movies & Entertainment market expansion? Will Anghami introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Anghami De. If investors know Anghami will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Anghami De listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (10.84) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.626 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Investors evaluate Anghami De using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Anghami De's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Anghami De's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Anghami De's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Anghami De represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Anghami De's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.