Antalpha Platform Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| ANTA Stock | 9.17 0.46 5.28% |
Antalpha Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Antalpha Platform stock prices and determine the direction of Antalpha Platform Holding's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Antalpha Platform's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the relative strength indicator of Antalpha Platform's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 6 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.74 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.225 | Wall Street Target Price 19.25 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.409 |
Using Antalpha Platform hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Antalpha Platform Holding from the perspective of Antalpha Platform response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Antalpha Platform Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 9.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.16. Antalpha Platform after-hype prediction price | USD 9.33 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Antalpha Platform to cross-verify your projections. Antalpha Platform Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Antalpha price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Antalpha using various technical indicators. When you analyze Antalpha charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Antalpha Platform Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 9th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Antalpha Platform Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 9.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27, mean absolute percentage error of 0.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.16.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Antalpha Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Antalpha Platform's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Antalpha Platform Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Antalpha Platform | Antalpha Platform Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Antalpha Platform Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Antalpha Platform's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Antalpha Platform's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.95 and 13.39, respectively. We have considered Antalpha Platform's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Antalpha Platform stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Antalpha Platform stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.6671 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0613 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.274 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.029 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 16.165 |
Predictive Modules for Antalpha Platform
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Antalpha Platform Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Antalpha Platform's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Antalpha Platform After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Antalpha Platform at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Antalpha Platform or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Antalpha Platform, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Antalpha Platform Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Antalpha Platform's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Antalpha Platform's historical news coverage. Antalpha Platform's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.11 and 13.55, respectively. We have considered Antalpha Platform's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Antalpha Platform is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Antalpha Platform Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
Antalpha Platform Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Antalpha Platform is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Antalpha Platform backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Antalpha Platform, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.28 | 4.22 | 0.16 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
9.17 | 9.33 | 1.74 |
|
Antalpha Platform Hype Timeline
Antalpha Platform Holding is presently traded for 9.17. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.16, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Antalpha is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 9.33 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 1.74%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.28%. The volatility of related hype on Antalpha Platform is about 12057.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.18. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 47.45 M. Net Income was 4.39 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 46.4 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Antalpha Platform to cross-verify your projections.Antalpha Platform Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Antalpha Platform's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Antalpha Platform's future price movements. Getting to know how Antalpha Platform's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Antalpha Platform may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FOA | Finance of America | 0.29 | 9 per month | 2.54 | (0.04) | 3.18 | (4.10) | 12.24 | |
| YRD | Yirendai | 0.06 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 3.77 | (3.75) | 13.64 | |
| MFIN | Medallion Financial Corp | 0.19 | 9 per month | 1.40 | 0.01 | 2.72 | (2.30) | 7.30 | |
| OPRT | Oportun Financial Corp | (0.10) | 12 per month | 2.90 | 0.01 | 3.77 | (4.78) | 31.57 | |
| LPRO | Open Lending Corp | (0.08) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 8.50 | (5.97) | 22.84 | |
| NWFL | Norwood Financial Corp | (0.32) | 20 per month | 0.84 | 0.14 | 3.40 | (1.96) | 6.55 | |
| MLAC | Mountain Lake Acquisition | 0.00 | 8 per month | 0.12 | (0.62) | 0.19 | (0.19) | 0.86 | |
| TSBK | Timberland Bancorp | 0.97 | 8 per month | 1.02 | 0.15 | 3.45 | (1.95) | 8.74 | |
| FRST | Primis Financial Corp | (0.32) | 17 per month | 1.41 | 0.18 | 4.60 | (2.32) | 12.37 | |
| PKBK | Parke Bancorp | (0.34) | 3 per month | 0.56 | 0.26 | 3.48 | (1.81) | 6.08 |
Other Forecasting Options for Antalpha Platform
For every potential investor in Antalpha, whether a beginner or expert, Antalpha Platform's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Antalpha Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Antalpha. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Antalpha Platform's price trends.Antalpha Platform Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Antalpha Platform stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Antalpha Platform could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Antalpha Platform by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Antalpha Platform Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Antalpha Platform stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Antalpha Platform shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Antalpha Platform stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Antalpha Platform Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Antalpha Platform Risk Indicators
The analysis of Antalpha Platform's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Antalpha Platform's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting antalpha stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.01 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.23 | |||
| Variance | 17.93 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Antalpha Platform
The number of cover stories for Antalpha Platform depends on current market conditions and Antalpha Platform's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Antalpha Platform is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Antalpha Platform's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Antalpha Platform Short Properties
Antalpha Platform's future price predictability will typically decrease when Antalpha Platform's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Antalpha Platform Holding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Antalpha Platform's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Antalpha Platform's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 23.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.9 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Antalpha Platform to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Is Consumer Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Antalpha Platform. If investors know Antalpha will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Antalpha Platform assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
The market value of Antalpha Platform Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Antalpha that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Antalpha Platform's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Antalpha Platform's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Antalpha Platform's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Antalpha Platform's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Antalpha Platform's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Antalpha Platform represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Antalpha Platform's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.