Africa Oil Pink Sheet Forward View
| AOIFF Stock | USD 1.40 0.01 0.72% |
Africa Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Africa Oil's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 7th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Africa Oil's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Africa Oil hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Africa Oil Corp from the perspective of Africa Oil response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Africa Oil Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 1.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.35. Africa Oil after-hype prediction price | USD 1.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Africa |
Africa Oil Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Africa price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Africa using various technical indicators. When you analyze Africa charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Africa Oil Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Africa Oil Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 1.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0007, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.35.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Africa Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Africa Oil's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Africa Oil Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Africa Oil | Africa Oil Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Africa Oil pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Africa Oil pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.8658 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0221 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0172 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.3455 |
Predictive Modules for Africa Oil
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Africa Oil Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Africa Oil After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Africa Oil at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Africa Oil or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Africa Oil, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Africa Oil Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Africa Oil's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Africa Oil's historical news coverage. Africa Oil's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.07 and 3.43, respectively. We have considered Africa Oil's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Africa Oil is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Africa Oil Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Africa Oil Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Africa Oil is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Africa Oil backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Africa Oil, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 2.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.40 | 1.40 | 0.00 |
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Africa Oil Hype Timeline
Africa Oil Corp is presently traded for 1.40. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Africa is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.21%. %. The volatility of related hype on Africa Oil is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.40. About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.81. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Africa Oil Corp last dividend was issued on the 8th of September 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.Africa Oil Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Africa Oil's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Africa Oil's future price movements. Getting to know how Africa Oil's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Africa Oil may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SOGFF | Strategic Oil and | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BWEFF | BW Energy Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1.05 | 0.00 | 21.72 | |
| KRNGF | Karoon Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 2.80 | 0.00 | 21.83 | |
| CRLFF | Cardinal Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.89 | 0.11 | 3.79 | (3.61) | 9.22 | |
| DALXF | Spartan Delta Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.19 | 0.22 | 4.60 | (3.58) | 14.05 | |
| KELTF | Kelt Exploration | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.67 | 0.09 | 4.29 | (4.63) | 18.62 | |
| COPJF | Cooper Energy Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14,647 | |
| KWTEF | Kiwetinohk Energy Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.93 | (0.02) | 1.92 | (0.80) | 9.41 | |
| IRPSY | IRPC PCL ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| OILRF | Oil Refineries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.53 | 0.09 | 20.00 | (16.67) | 53.00 |
Africa Oil Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Africa Oil pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Africa Oil could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Africa Oil by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Africa Oil Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Africa Oil pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Africa Oil shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Africa Oil pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Africa Oil Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Africa Oil Risk Indicators
The analysis of Africa Oil's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Africa Oil's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting africa pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.54 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.56 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.97 | |||
| Variance | 3.89 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.35 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.42 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.08) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Africa Oil
The number of cover stories for Africa Oil depends on current market conditions and Africa Oil's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Africa Oil is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Africa Oil's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Africa Pink Sheet
Africa Oil financial ratios help investors to determine whether Africa Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Africa with respect to the benefits of owning Africa Oil security.