Apollo Global Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| APOS Stock | 26.58 0.09 0.34% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Apollo Global Management on the next trading day is expected to be 26.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.53. Apollo Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of Apollo Global's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Apollo Global hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Apollo Global Management from the perspective of Apollo Global response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Apollo Global Management on the next trading day is expected to be 26.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.53. Apollo Global after-hype prediction price | USD 26.58 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Apollo Global to cross-verify your projections. Apollo Global Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Apollo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Apollo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Apollo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Apollo Global Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Apollo Global Management on the next trading day is expected to be 26.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.53.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Apollo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Apollo Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Apollo Global Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Apollo Global | Apollo Global Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Apollo Global Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Apollo Global's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Apollo Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 26.30 and 26.86, respectively. We have considered Apollo Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Apollo Global stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Apollo Global stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.1132 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0128 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0588 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0023 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.53 |
Predictive Modules for Apollo Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Apollo Global Management. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Apollo Global After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Apollo Global at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Apollo Global or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Apollo Global, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Apollo Global Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Apollo Global's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Apollo Global's historical news coverage. Apollo Global's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 26.30 and 26.86, respectively. We have considered Apollo Global's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Apollo Global is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Apollo Global Management is based on 3 months time horizon.
Apollo Global Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Apollo Global is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Apollo Global backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Apollo Global, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 0.28 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
26.58 | 26.58 | 0.00 |
|
Apollo Global Hype Timeline
Apollo Global Management is presently traded for 26.58. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Apollo is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Apollo Global is about 169.7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.59. The company last dividend was issued on the 16th of March 2026. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Apollo Global to cross-verify your projections.Apollo Global Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Apollo Global's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Apollo Global's future price movements. Getting to know how Apollo Global's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Apollo Global may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IDDTF | Industrivarden AB Ser | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| JBARF | Julius Br Gruppe | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.91 | 0.12 | 4.37 | (4.23) | 11.13 | |
| ARCC | Ares Capital | (0.03) | 16 per month | 0.82 | 0.05 | 1.63 | (1.86) | 4.22 | |
| IVTBF | Investment AB Latour | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.75 | |
| AMDUF | Amundi SA | 0.09 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.33 | |
| CRBG | Corebridge Financial | 1.06 | 23 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.35 | (3.93) | 7.68 | |
| SBHGF | SBI Holdings | 0.32 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 4.77 | (5.11) | 54.17 | |
| OXLCI | Oxford Lane Capital | (0.07) | 8 per month | 0.09 | (0.11) | 0.55 | (0.36) | 1.50 | |
| LBGUF | L E Lundbergfretagen | 0.32 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| LGGNF | Legal General Group | (0.04) | 8 per month | 2.14 | 0.08 | 3.86 | (3.46) | 11.59 |
Other Forecasting Options for Apollo Global
For every potential investor in Apollo, whether a beginner or expert, Apollo Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Apollo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Apollo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Apollo Global's price trends.Apollo Global Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Apollo Global stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Apollo Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Apollo Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Apollo Global Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Apollo Global stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Apollo Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Apollo Global stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Apollo Global Management entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Apollo Global Risk Indicators
The analysis of Apollo Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Apollo Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting apollo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.2097 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.1397 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.2774 | |||
| Variance | 0.0769 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0801 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0195 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.24) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Apollo Global
The number of cover stories for Apollo Global depends on current market conditions and Apollo Global's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Apollo Global is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Apollo Global's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Apollo Global Short Properties
Apollo Global's future price predictability will typically decrease when Apollo Global's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Apollo Global Management often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Apollo Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Apollo Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 604 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 1.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 18.3 B |
Additional Tools for Apollo Stock Analysis
When running Apollo Global's price analysis, check to measure Apollo Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Apollo Global is operating at the current time. Most of Apollo Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Apollo Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Apollo Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Apollo Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.