Midcap Financial Investment Stock Price Prediction
| MFIC Stock | USD 11.45 0.11 0.95% |
Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.3794 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.5015 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.4222 | Wall Street Target Price 12.6563 |
Using MidCap Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MidCap Financial Investment from the perspective of MidCap Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards MidCap Financial using MidCap Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards MidCap using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of MidCap Financial's stock price.
MidCap Financial Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in MidCap Financial's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards MidCap. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of MidCap Financial stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 12.2401 | Short Percent 0.0053 | Short Ratio 0.6 | Shares Short Prior Month 871.1 K | 50 Day MA 11.7078 |
MidCap Financial Inv Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to MidCap Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in MidCap. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding MidCap can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around MidCap Financial Investment. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of MidCap Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about MidCap Financial.
MidCap Financial Implied Volatility | 0.62 |
MidCap Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of MidCap Financial Investment stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if MidCap Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that MidCap Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when MidCap Financial's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in MidCap Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying MidCap because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
MidCap Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 11.42 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current MidCap contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that MidCap Financial Investment will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0388% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With MidCap Financial trading at USD 11.45, that is roughly USD 0.004437 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating MidCap Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring MidCap Financial Investment options at the current volatility level of 0.62%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out MidCap Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. MidCap Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of MidCap Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MidCap Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of MidCap Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
MidCap Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting MidCap Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MidCap Financial's historical news coverage. MidCap Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.08 and 12.76, respectively. We have considered MidCap Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
MidCap Financial is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MidCap Financial Inv is based on 3 months time horizon.
MidCap Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MidCap Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MidCap Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MidCap Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 1.33 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 23 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 23 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
11.45 | 11.42 | 0.26 |
|
MidCap Financial Hype Timeline
MidCap Financial Inv is now traded for 11.45. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. MidCap is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 11.42. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.26%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.07%. The volatility of related hype on MidCap Financial is about 1564.71%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.46. About 33.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.78. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. MidCap Financial Inv has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.76. The entity last dividend was issued on the 9th of December 2025. The firm had 1:3 split on the 3rd of December 2018. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 23 days. Check out MidCap Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.MidCap Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to MidCap Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MidCap Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how MidCap Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MidCap Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CSWC | Capital Southwest | 0.49 | 8 per month | 0.89 | 0.13 | 2.20 | (2.02) | 6.18 | |
| GSBD | Goldman Sachs BDC | 0.17 | 5 per month | 1.02 | (0.07) | 1.88 | (1.93) | 4.85 | |
| NMFC | New Mountain Finance | 0.13 | 5 per month | 1.01 | (0.05) | 1.66 | (1.69) | 5.28 | |
| PSEC | Prospect Capital | 0.04 | 9 per month | 1.56 | 0.06 | 4.60 | (3.05) | 10.92 | |
| PFLT | PennantPark Floating Rate | 0.10 | 11 per month | 0.69 | 0.11 | 1.95 | (1.50) | 4.17 | |
| HRZN | Horizon Technology Finance | (0.11) | 7 per month | 0.80 | 0.12 | 2.53 | (1.59) | 11.64 | |
| VRTS | Virtus Investment Partners | (0.44) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.94 | (3.38) | 8.72 | |
| CGBD | Carlyle Secured Lending | 0.21 | 9 per month | 1.23 | 0.02 | 2.23 | (2.09) | 5.52 | |
| KBDC | Kayne Anderson BDC | 0.18 | 7 per month | 1.12 | 0.04 | 2.84 | (2.35) | 6.04 | |
| BCSF | Bain Capital Specialty | 0.08 | 11 per month | 1.26 | (0.03) | 1.93 | (1.87) | 6.32 |
MidCap Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MidCap price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MidCap using various technical indicators. When you analyze MidCap charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About MidCap Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of MidCap Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as MidCap Financial Investment, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of MidCap Financial based on analysis of MidCap Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to MidCap Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to MidCap Financial's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 0.75 | 0.89 | Dividend Yield | 0.0906 | 0.14 |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Complementary Tools for MidCap Stock analysis
When running MidCap Financial's price analysis, check to measure MidCap Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MidCap Financial is operating at the current time. Most of MidCap Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MidCap Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MidCap Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MidCap Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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