Applied Biosciences Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

APPBDelisted Stock  USD 0.0009  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Applied Biosciences Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0009 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000058 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Applied Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Applied Biosciences stock prices and determine the direction of Applied Biosciences Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Applied Biosciences' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Applied Biosciences is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Applied Biosciences Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Applied Biosciences Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Applied Biosciences Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0009 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000058, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Applied Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Applied Biosciences' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Applied Biosciences Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Applied Biosciences stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Applied Biosciences stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria99.3079
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.059
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0035
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Applied Biosciences Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Applied Biosciences. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Applied Biosciences

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Applied Biosciences Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.0000.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.00090.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00080.00080.0008
Details

View Applied Biosciences Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Applied Biosciences Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Applied Biosciences stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Applied Biosciences shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Applied Biosciences stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Applied Biosciences Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Applied Biosciences Risk Indicators

The analysis of Applied Biosciences' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Applied Biosciences' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting applied stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.

Other Consideration for investing in Applied Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Applied Biosciences Corp check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Applied Biosciences' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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