Applied Biosciences Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| APPB Stock | USD 0.0001 0.00 0.000003% |
Applied Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Applied Biosciences stock prices and determine the direction of Applied Biosciences Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Applied Biosciences' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Applied Biosciences' share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.59) |
Using Applied Biosciences hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Applied Biosciences Corp from the perspective of Applied Biosciences response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Applied Biosciences Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Applied Biosciences after-hype prediction price | USD 1.0E-4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Applied Biosciences to cross-verify your projections. Applied Biosciences Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Applied price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Applied using various technical indicators. When you analyze Applied charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Applied Biosciences Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Applied Biosciences Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Applied Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Applied Biosciences' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Applied Biosciences Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Applied Biosciences | Applied Biosciences Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Applied Biosciences Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Applied Biosciences' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Applied Biosciences' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Applied Biosciences' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Applied Biosciences stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Applied Biosciences stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 61.0976 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Applied Biosciences
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Applied Biosciences Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Applied Biosciences After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Applied Biosciences at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Applied Biosciences or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Applied Biosciences, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Applied Biosciences Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Applied Biosciences' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Applied Biosciences' historical news coverage. Applied Biosciences' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Applied Biosciences' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Applied Biosciences is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Applied Biosciences Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Applied Biosciences Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Applied Biosciences is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Applied Biosciences backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Applied Biosciences, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.00 |
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Applied Biosciences Hype Timeline
Applied Biosciences Corp is presently traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Applied is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Applied Biosciences is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. About 32.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.31. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Applied Biosciences Corp last dividend was issued on the 24th of October 2016. The entity had 1:10 split on the 24th of October 2016. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Applied Biosciences to cross-verify your projections.Applied Biosciences Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Applied Biosciences' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Applied Biosciences' future price movements. Getting to know how Applied Biosciences' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Applied Biosciences may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CNNA | Cann American Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 18.79 | 0.17 | 47.06 | (29.17) | 2,040 | |
| CPMD | CannaPharmaRx | (0.01) | 1 per month | 13.07 | 0.08 | 38.46 | (23.86) | 159.29 | |
| ALID | Allied Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 95.50 | |
| MJARF | MJardin Group | (0.75) | 5 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CBDY | Target Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 13.86 | 0.07 | 35.71 | (28.57) | 100.00 | |
| EXMT | Anything Tech Media | 0.00 | 0 per month | 11.78 | 0.06 | 33.33 | (25.00) | 133.33 | |
| LVVEF | Yooma Wellness | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| OWPC | One World Pharma | (0.75) | 3 per month | 12.65 | 0.01 | 26.11 | (21.71) | 74.11 | |
| BINP | Bionoid Pharma | 0.00 | 0 per month | 13.88 | 0.11 | 34.69 | (36.36) | 176.17 | |
| MJNA | Medical Marijuana I | 0.00 | 0 per month | 20.87 | 0.18 | 100.00 | (50.00) | 266.67 |
Other Forecasting Options for Applied Biosciences
For every potential investor in Applied, whether a beginner or expert, Applied Biosciences' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Applied Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Applied. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Applied Biosciences' price trends.Applied Biosciences Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Applied Biosciences stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Applied Biosciences could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Applied Biosciences by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Applied Biosciences Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Applied Biosciences stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Applied Biosciences shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Applied Biosciences stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Applied Biosciences Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.0E-4 |
Story Coverage note for Applied Biosciences
The number of cover stories for Applied Biosciences depends on current market conditions and Applied Biosciences' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Applied Biosciences is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Applied Biosciences' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Applied Biosciences to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Is Pharmaceuticals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Applied Biosciences. If investors know Applied will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Applied Biosciences assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
The market value of Applied Biosciences Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Applied that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Applied Biosciences' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Applied Biosciences' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Applied Biosciences' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Applied Biosciences' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Applied Biosciences' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Applied Biosciences represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Applied Biosciences' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.