AquaBounty Technologies Stock Forward View
| AQB Stock | USD 0.93 0.00 0.000001% |
AquaBounty Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast AquaBounty Technologies stock prices and determine the direction of AquaBounty Technologies's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of AquaBounty Technologies' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the RSI of AquaBounty Technologies' share price is approaching 47. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling AquaBounty Technologies, making its price go up or down. Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Year (2.28) | Wall Street Target Price 1 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.62) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.94) |
Using AquaBounty Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AquaBounty Technologies from the perspective of AquaBounty Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of AquaBounty Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.39. AquaBounty Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 0.93 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
AquaBounty | Build AI portfolio with AquaBounty Stock |
AquaBounty Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine AquaBounty price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AquaBounty using various technical indicators. When you analyze AquaBounty charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
AquaBounty Technologies Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the AquaBounty Technologies' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2009-12-31 | Previous Quarter 729.6 K | Current Value 951.4 K | Quarterly Volatility 45.6 M |
AquaBounty Technologies Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of AquaBounty Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.39.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict AquaBounty Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that AquaBounty Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
AquaBounty Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest AquaBounty Technologies | AquaBounty Technologies Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
AquaBounty Technologies Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting AquaBounty Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. AquaBounty Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 5.96, respectively. We have considered AquaBounty Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of AquaBounty Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent AquaBounty Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.0727 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0392 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.041 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.3898 |
Predictive Modules for AquaBounty Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AquaBounty Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AquaBounty Technologies After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of AquaBounty Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AquaBounty Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of AquaBounty Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
AquaBounty Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting AquaBounty Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AquaBounty Technologies' historical news coverage. AquaBounty Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 6.06, respectively. We have considered AquaBounty Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
AquaBounty Technologies is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AquaBounty Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
AquaBounty Technologies Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AquaBounty Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AquaBounty Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AquaBounty Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 5.13 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.93 | 0.93 | 0.00 |
|
AquaBounty Technologies Hype Timeline
On the 4th of February AquaBounty Technologies is traded for 0.93. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. AquaBounty is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on AquaBounty Technologies is about 4007.81%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.94. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.3. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. AquaBounty Technologies recorded a loss per share of 21.27. The entity last dividend was issued on the 12th of June 2015. The firm had 1:20 split on the 16th of October 2023. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AquaBounty Technologies to cross-verify your projections.AquaBounty Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to AquaBounty Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AquaBounty Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how AquaBounty Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AquaBounty Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EDBL | Edible Garden AG | 0.83 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 12.17 | (13.20) | 44.62 | |
| AMZE | Amaze Holdings | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 20.00 | (16.67) | 52.45 | |
| GSUN | Golden Sun Education | (0.15) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 6.90 | (9.89) | 27.57 | |
| SDOT | Sadot Group | (0.22) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 19.25 | (20.09) | 58.45 | |
| GNLN | Greenlane Holdings | (0.22) | 41 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 5.69 | (9.64) | 26.61 | |
| XXII | 22nd Century Group | (0.15) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 9.38 | (10.89) | 39.03 | |
| EEIQ | Elite Education Group | 0.02 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 8.33 | (7.14) | 25.87 | |
| AGRI | AgriFORCE Growing Systems | (0.20) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 12.40 | (10.58) | 35.74 | |
| SBEV | Splash Beverage Group | 0.13 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 15.58 | (14.71) | 74.08 | |
| IBG | Innovation Beverage Group | 1.25 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 14.62 | (11.83) | 63.49 |
Other Forecasting Options for AquaBounty Technologies
For every potential investor in AquaBounty, whether a beginner or expert, AquaBounty Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. AquaBounty Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in AquaBounty. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AquaBounty Technologies' price trends.AquaBounty Technologies Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AquaBounty Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AquaBounty Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AquaBounty Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
AquaBounty Technologies Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how AquaBounty Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading AquaBounty Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying AquaBounty Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify AquaBounty Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.93 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.93 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 47.31 |
AquaBounty Technologies Risk Indicators
The analysis of AquaBounty Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AquaBounty Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aquabounty stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.8 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.27 | |||
| Variance | 27.76 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for AquaBounty Technologies
The number of cover stories for AquaBounty Technologies depends on current market conditions and AquaBounty Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AquaBounty Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AquaBounty Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
AquaBounty Technologies Short Properties
AquaBounty Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when AquaBounty Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of AquaBounty Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential AquaBounty Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AquaBounty Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 230.4 K |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AquaBounty Technologies to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade AquaBounty Stock refer to our How to Trade AquaBounty Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AquaBounty Technologies. If investors know AquaBounty will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive AquaBounty Technologies assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Earnings Share (21.27) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.94) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
AquaBounty Technologies's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on AquaBounty's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate AquaBounty Technologies' intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since AquaBounty Technologies' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that AquaBounty Technologies' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether AquaBounty Technologies represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, AquaBounty Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.