Antero Resources Stock Forward View - 4 Period Moving Average
| AR Stock | USD 35.94 -0.43 -1.18% |
This 4 Period Moving Average projection for Antero Resources is fitted to the equity's recent daily closes. Low error metrics relative to the price level indicate the model fits recent trading behavior well. Older observations carry less weight in the current projection as the price series extends. High SAE relative to the price level signals cumulative forecast drift over the evaluation period. The 4 Period Moving Average model projects Antero Resources at 36.27 for the next trading day, above the most recent closing price. This forecast is one analytical input among many and should be assessed in the context of broader analysis.
4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 11th of May 2026
Over a 90-day horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average model forecasts Antero Resources at 36.27 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 1.17 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.03 , and sum of absolute errors of 66.95 .This represents a tight forecast with good short-term tracking of Antero Resources' price movement. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Antero Resources | Antero Resources Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The projected range for Antero Resources reflects the model's ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios for the next trading day. The model places downside around 33.78 and upside around 38.77 for the next session. The wide range indicates elevated uncertainty in short-term projections.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the 4 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for Antero Resources stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.4402 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0945 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.1746 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0302 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 66.955 |
Other Forecasting Options for Antero Resources
Fibonacci retracement levels applied to Antero Resources Stock price swings identify potential support and resistance zones. Extreme price moves in Antero Resources occur more frequently than standard risk models assume. Support and resistance levels derived from Antero Resources' historical data identify zones where buying or selling pressure has stalled moves. A volume spike without a corresponding price move signals accumulation or distribution ahead of a directional breakout.Antero Resources Related Equities
Checking Antero Resources against related firms within the Energy space reveals where the stock stands among peers. Market cap and total value checks frame Antero Resources' size within the competitive field. A stock that beats its peers on many metrics often deserves a closer look from value-focused investors. The peer review below gives a clear framework for judging Antero Resources' standing among rivals.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Antero Resources Market Strength Events
Rate of Change and Momentum readings for Antero Resources measure the velocity of recent price moves rather than direction alone. These indicators add context to how recent sessions in Antero Resources have behaved. These indicators are most informative when viewed alongside Antero Resources's volume profile and volatility measures. The Price Action Indicator distills each session's open-high-low-close into a single directional score for Antero Resources.
Antero Resources Risk Indicators
Standard deviation and variance for Antero Resources measure total price dispersion, while semi-deviation isolates only the downside moves. Higher variance relative to sector peers signals that Antero Resources' price path has been less predictable over the measured period. Analyzing Antero Resources' risk indicators helps explain how recent moves compare with its broader trading range. A narrow gap between mean deviation and standard deviation indicates that Antero Resources' return distribution is relatively symmetric.
| Mean Deviation | 1.89 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.32 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.47 | |||
| Variance | 6.1 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.82 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.36 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -2.00 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Antero Resources Short Properties
Short-interest data for Antero Resources reveals whether bearish conviction in the market is gaining traction. A disciplined short-interest review can make timing decisions more informed under rising skepticism.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 312.36 million | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 210 million |