Antero Resources Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| AR Stock | USD 33.85 0.37 1.08% |
Antero Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the value of relative strength index of Antero Resources' share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Antero Resources hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Antero Resources Corp from the perspective of Antero Resources response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Antero Resources Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 33.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.72 and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.46. Antero Resources after-hype prediction price | USD 34.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Antero Resources to cross-verify your projections. Antero Resources Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Antero price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Antero using various technical indicators. When you analyze Antero charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Antero Resources Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Antero Resources Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 33.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.72, mean absolute percentage error of 0.77, and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.46.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Antero Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Antero Resources' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Antero Resources Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Antero Resources | Antero Resources Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Antero Resources Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Antero Resources' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Antero Resources' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 31.45 and 36.48, respectively. We have considered Antero Resources' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Antero Resources stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Antero Resources stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1237 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7197 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.021 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 42.4602 |
Predictive Modules for Antero Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Antero Resources Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Antero Resources After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Antero Resources at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Antero Resources or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Antero Resources, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Antero Resources Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Antero Resources' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Antero Resources' historical news coverage. Antero Resources' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 31.47 and 36.53, respectively. We have considered Antero Resources' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Antero Resources is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Antero Resources Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Antero Resources Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Antero Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Antero Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Antero Resources, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 2.52 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
33.85 | 34.00 | 0.09 |
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Antero Resources Hype Timeline
As of February 5, 2026 Antero Resources Corp is listed for 33.85. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Antero is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 34.0 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Antero Resources is about 1172.09%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 33.84. The company generated the yearly revenue of 4.12 B. Reported Net Income was 93.7 M with gross profit of 3.36 B. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Antero Resources to cross-verify your projections.Antero Resources Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Antero Resources' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Antero Resources' future price movements. Getting to know how Antero Resources' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Antero Resources may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OVV | Ovintiv | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.94 | 0.10 | 3.86 | (3.04) | 8.85 | |
| RRC | Range Resources Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.08 | (3.01) | 11.21 | |
| AM | Antero Midstream Partners | (0.47) | 10 per month | 1.15 | 0.10 | 1.82 | (1.86) | 5.96 | |
| PR | Permian Resources | 0.13 | 7 per month | 1.46 | 0.20 | 3.66 | (2.42) | 9.61 | |
| DINO | HF Sinclair Corp | (0.43) | 8 per month | 1.49 | 0.06 | 4.03 | (2.57) | 7.95 | |
| APA | APA Corporation | (0.42) | 9 per month | 2.17 | 0.09 | 4.70 | (3.50) | 14.33 | |
| PAA | Plains All American | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.32 | 0.33 | 1.82 | (1.23) | 4.05 | |
| DTM | DT Midstream | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.80 | 0.14 | 1.78 | (1.37) | 4.48 | |
| VNOM | Viper Energy Ut | (0.52) | 5 per month | 1.58 | 0.10 | 2.90 | (2.74) | 10.04 | |
| HESM | Hess Midstream Partners | (0.44) | 9 per month | 1.07 | 0.06 | 1.88 | (1.78) | 5.02 |
Other Forecasting Options for Antero Resources
For every potential investor in Antero, whether a beginner or expert, Antero Resources' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Antero Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Antero. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Antero Resources' price trends.Antero Resources Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Antero Resources stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Antero Resources could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Antero Resources by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Antero Resources Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Antero Resources stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Antero Resources shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Antero Resources stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Antero Resources Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 149996.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.29) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 33.81 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 33.82 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.14) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.37) |
Antero Resources Risk Indicators
The analysis of Antero Resources' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Antero Resources' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting antero stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.0 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.66 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.52 | |||
| Variance | 6.33 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.37 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.07 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.95) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Antero Resources
The number of cover stories for Antero Resources depends on current market conditions and Antero Resources' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Antero Resources is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Antero Resources' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Antero Stock Analysis
When running Antero Resources' price analysis, check to measure Antero Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Antero Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Antero Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Antero Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Antero Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Antero Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.