Arcadis NV Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| ARCAD Stock | EUR 61.90 0.30 0.48% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Arcadis NV on the next trading day is expected to be 60.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.72 and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.73. Arcadis Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Arcadis NV stock prices and determine the direction of Arcadis NV's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Arcadis NV's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Arcadis |
Arcadis NV Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Arcadis NV on the next trading day is expected to be 60.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.72, mean absolute percentage error of 0.75, and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.73.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Arcadis Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Arcadis NV's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Arcadis NV Stock Forecast Pattern
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Arcadis NV Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Arcadis NV's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Arcadis NV's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 59.49 and 61.93, respectively. We have considered Arcadis NV's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Arcadis NV stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Arcadis NV stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.8276 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7169 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0112 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 43.7316 |
Predictive Modules for Arcadis NV
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Arcadis NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Arcadis NV's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Arcadis NV
For every potential investor in Arcadis, whether a beginner or expert, Arcadis NV's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Arcadis Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Arcadis. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Arcadis NV's price trends.Arcadis NV Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Arcadis NV stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Arcadis NV could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Arcadis NV by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Arcadis NV Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Arcadis NV's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Arcadis NV's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Arcadis NV Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Arcadis NV stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Arcadis NV shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Arcadis NV stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Arcadis NV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Arcadis NV Risk Indicators
The analysis of Arcadis NV's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Arcadis NV's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting arcadis stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9268 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.21 | |||
| Variance | 1.47 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Other Information on Investing in Arcadis Stock
Arcadis NV financial ratios help investors to determine whether Arcadis Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Arcadis with respect to the benefits of owning Arcadis NV security.