ARMOUR Residential Stock Forecast - Price Action Indicator
| ARR Stock | USD 18.57 0.28 1.53% |
ARMOUR Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although ARMOUR Residential's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of ARMOUR Residential's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of ARMOUR Residential fundamentals over time.
The RSI of ARMOUR Residential's stock price is slightly above 64. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling ARMOUR, making its price go up or down. Momentum 64
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.231 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.7928 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.1398 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.1311 | Wall Street Target Price 18.625 |
Using ARMOUR Residential hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ARMOUR Residential REIT from the perspective of ARMOUR Residential response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards ARMOUR Residential using ARMOUR Residential's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards ARMOUR using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of ARMOUR Residential's stock price.
ARMOUR Residential Short Interest
An investor who is long ARMOUR Residential may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about ARMOUR Residential and may potentially protect profits, hedge ARMOUR Residential with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 16.3115 | Short Percent 0.0999 | Short Ratio 3.63 | Shares Short Prior Month 9.8 M | 50 Day MA 17.5328 |
ARMOUR Relative Strength Index
ARMOUR Residential REIT Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to ARMOUR Residential's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in ARMOUR. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding ARMOUR can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around ARMOUR Residential REIT. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of ARMOUR Residential's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about ARMOUR Residential.
ARMOUR Residential Implied Volatility | 0.49 |
ARMOUR Residential's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of ARMOUR Residential REIT stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if ARMOUR Residential's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that ARMOUR Residential stock will not fluctuate a lot when ARMOUR Residential's options are near their expiration.
ARMOUR Residential after-hype prediction price | USD 18.57 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ARMOUR Residential to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current ARMOUR contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that ARMOUR Residential REIT will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0306% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With ARMOUR Residential trading at USD 18.57, that is roughly USD 0.005687 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating ARMOUR Residential's daily price movement you should consider acquiring ARMOUR Residential REIT options at the current volatility level of 0.49%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 ARMOUR Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast ARMOUR Residential's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in ARMOUR Residential's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for ARMOUR Residential stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current ARMOUR Residential's open interest, investors have to compare it to ARMOUR Residential's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of ARMOUR Residential is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in ARMOUR. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
ARMOUR Residential Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ARMOUR price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ARMOUR using various technical indicators. When you analyze ARMOUR charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Price Action Indicator | Price Action Indicator | Trend |
| (0.01) | 0.32 |
| Check ARMOUR Residential Volatility | Backtest ARMOUR Residential | Information Ratio |
ARMOUR Residential Trading Date Momentum
| On January 27 2026 ARMOUR Residential REIT was traded for 18.57 at the closing time. Highest ARMOUR Residential's price during the trading hours was 18.59 and the lowest price during the day was 18.20 . The net volume was 3.1 M. The overall trading history on the 27th of January did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta to current price is 1.45% . |
Price Action Indicator (or PAIN) was developed by Michael B. Geraty and published in 'Futures' magazine in August 1997.
| Compare ARMOUR Residential to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for ARMOUR Residential
For every potential investor in ARMOUR, whether a beginner or expert, ARMOUR Residential's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ARMOUR Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ARMOUR. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ARMOUR Residential's price trends.ARMOUR Residential Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ARMOUR Residential stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ARMOUR Residential could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ARMOUR Residential by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ARMOUR Residential Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ARMOUR Residential stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ARMOUR Residential shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ARMOUR Residential stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ARMOUR Residential REIT entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
ARMOUR Residential Risk Indicators
The analysis of ARMOUR Residential's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ARMOUR Residential's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting armour stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9904 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8776 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Variance | 1.57 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.42 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.7701 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.16) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for ARMOUR Residential
The number of cover stories for ARMOUR Residential depends on current market conditions and ARMOUR Residential's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ARMOUR Residential is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ARMOUR Residential's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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ARMOUR Residential Short Properties
ARMOUR Residential's future price predictability will typically decrease when ARMOUR Residential's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ARMOUR Residential REIT often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ARMOUR Residential's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ARMOUR Residential's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 52.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 68 M |
Additional Tools for ARMOUR Stock Analysis
When running ARMOUR Residential's price analysis, check to measure ARMOUR Residential's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ARMOUR Residential is operating at the current time. Most of ARMOUR Residential's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ARMOUR Residential's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ARMOUR Residential's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ARMOUR Residential to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.