Armour Residential Reit Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ARR Stock | USD 18.69 0.01 0.05% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding ARMOUR Residential REIT is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell ARMOUR Residential REIT given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards ARMOUR Residential. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for ARMOUR Residential REIT, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out ARMOUR Residential Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as ARMOUR and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. ARMOUR Residential REIT. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
ARMOUR |
Execute ARMOUR Residential Buy or Sell Advice
The ARMOUR recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on ARMOUR Residential REIT. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in ARMOUR Residential REIT or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute ARMOUR Residential's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
ARMOUR Residential Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| ARMOUR Residential generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ARMOUR Residential has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 449.67 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (67.92 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (192.1 M). | |
| On 30th of October 2024 ARMOUR Residential paid $ 0.24 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Melissa Sanderson Purchases 2,000,000 Shares of American Rare Earths Limited Stock |
ARMOUR Residential Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of ARMOUR Residential's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of ARMOUR Residential's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of ARMOUR Residential daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use ARMOUR Residential REIT price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of ARMOUR Residential returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for ARMOUR Residential.
| Mean Return | -0.04 | Value At Risk | -2.02 | Potential Upside | 1.47 | Standard Deviation | 1.05 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of ARMOUR Residential historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
ARMOUR Stock Institutional Investors
The ARMOUR Residential's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase ARMOUR Residential's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2023-06-30 | 1.3 M | Van Eck Associates Corporation | 2023-06-30 | 1.2 M | Principal Financial Group Inc | 2023-06-30 | 1.1 M | Susquehanna International Group, Llp | 2023-06-30 | 746.6 K | Ameriprise Financial Inc | 2023-06-30 | 712.2 K | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2023-06-30 | 694.5 K | Advisor Group Holdings, Inc. | 2023-06-30 | 658.5 K | Rhumbline Advisers | 2023-06-30 | 557.5 K | Legal & General Group Plc | 2023-06-30 | 546.3 K | Blackrock Inc | 2023-06-30 | 33.1 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-06-30 | 21.4 M |
ARMOUR Residential Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 41.0M | (101.5M) | 184.5M | (238.1M) | 140.8M | 147.8M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (40.7M) | (257.8M) | 11.7M | 124.1M | 132.8M | 126.2M | |
| Net Income | (249.9M) | (215.1M) | 15.4M | (229.9M) | (67.9M) | (71.3M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 273.2M | 171.7M | 356.2M | 118.1M | 258.9M | 277.8M | |
| Depreciation | 55.8M | 53.4M | 48.1M | 16.5M | 3.5M | 3.3M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 65.2M | 56.3M | 123.7M | 1.1B | 106.7M | 101.4M | |
| Dividends Paid | 140.1M | 85.3M | 108.1M | 154.4M | 228.2M | 157.7M | |
| Change To Inventory | (255K) | (1.7M) | 7.1M | 883K | 1.0M | 524.1K | |
| Investments | (4.3B) | 7.1B | 377.2M | (4.0B) | (4.0B) | (3.8B) | |
| Change Receivables | (12.4M) | 21.8M | 2.3M | (17.7M) | (20.4M) | (19.4M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 4.3B | (6.8B) | (588.0M) | 3.2B | 2.9B | 2.8B | |
| Change To Netincome | 2.7M | 4.1M | 4.8M | 3.7M | 3.3M | 3.2M |
ARMOUR Residential Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to ARMOUR Residential or Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that ARMOUR Residential's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a ARMOUR stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
ARMOUR Residential Volatility Alert
ARMOUR Residential REIT exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.8 and kurtosis of 2.04. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure ARMOUR Residential's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact ARMOUR Residential's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.ARMOUR Residential Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing ARMOUR Residential's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze ARMOUR Residential's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between ARMOUR Residential and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as ARMOUR Residential or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of ARMOUR Residential's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ARMOUR Residential by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare ARMOUR Residential to competition |
| Fundamentals | ARMOUR Residential | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.1 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0096 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.71 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.86 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | (1.93 B) | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 55.76 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.55 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 49.22 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 3.79 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 1.57 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.79 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 5.63 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 449.67 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | (192.1 M) | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 457.87 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (67.92 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 9.43 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 71.36 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 9.65 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 8.74 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.15 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 23.86 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 132.82 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.54 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 2.90 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (1.31) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 20.17 | |
| Beta | 1.51 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.04 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 12.34 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (3.05 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (11.01 B) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 589.26 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Disposition of 4380 shares by Scott Ulm of ARMOUR Residential subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
ARMOUR Residential Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as ARMOUR . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About ARMOUR Residential Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell ARMOUR Residential REIT? Buying financial instruments such as ARMOUR Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for ARMOUR Stock Analysis
When running ARMOUR Residential's price analysis, check to measure ARMOUR Residential's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ARMOUR Residential is operating at the current time. Most of ARMOUR Residential's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ARMOUR Residential's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ARMOUR Residential's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ARMOUR Residential to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.