Fagron NV OTC Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| ARSUF Stock | USD 26.81 0.00 0.00% |
Fagron OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Fagron NV's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 29th of January 2026 The value of RSI of Fagron NV's share price is above 80 . This suggests that the otc stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 100
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Fagron NV based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Fagron NV hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fagron NV from the perspective of Fagron NV response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Fagron NV on the next trading day is expected to be 25.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.75 and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.75. Fagron NV after-hype prediction price | USD 26.81 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Fagron |
Fagron NV Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Fagron price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fagron using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fagron charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Fagron NV Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Fagron NV on the next trading day is expected to be 25.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.75, mean absolute percentage error of 0.86, and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.75.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fagron OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fagron NV's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Fagron NV OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Fagron NV | Fagron NV Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Fagron NV Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Fagron NV's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fagron NV's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 23.45 and 27.06, respectively. We have considered Fagron NV's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fagron NV otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fagron NV otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.9572 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.75 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0306 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 45.7484 |
Predictive Modules for Fagron NV
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fagron NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fagron NV's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Fagron NV After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Fagron NV at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fagron NV or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Fagron NV, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Fagron NV Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Fagron NV's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fagron NV's historical news coverage. Fagron NV's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.01 and 28.61, respectively. We have considered Fagron NV's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Fagron NV is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fagron NV is based on 3 months time horizon.
Fagron NV OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Fagron NV is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fagron NV backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fagron NV, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 1.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
26.81 | 26.81 | 0.00 |
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Fagron NV Hype Timeline
Fagron NV is presently traded for 26.81. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Fagron is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.23%. %. The volatility of related hype on Fagron NV is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.81. About 86.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company last dividend was issued on the 14th of May 2020. Fagron NV had 1202:1117 split on the 17th of June 2016. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fagron NV to cross-verify your projections.Fagron NV Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Fagron NV's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fagron NV's future price movements. Getting to know how Fagron NV's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fagron NV may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DMPHF | Dermapharm Holding SE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| HTSUF | Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TSMRF | Tsumura Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NPNKF | Nippon Shinyaku Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CASBF | CanSino Biologics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 0.00 | (3.60) | 18.06 | |
| EBOSY | EBOS Group Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.54 | |
| NURPF | Neuren Pharmaceuticals Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 0.16 | (5.11) | 20.18 | |
| CURLF | Curaleaf Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 8.10 | (0) | 9.88 | (10.45) | 69.91 | |
| STSEY | Stratec SE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.34 | |
| GTBIF | Green Thumb Industries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.33 | 0.03 | 11.32 | (7.24) | 67.92 |
Other Forecasting Options for Fagron NV
For every potential investor in Fagron, whether a beginner or expert, Fagron NV's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fagron OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fagron. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fagron NV's price trends.Fagron NV Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fagron NV otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fagron NV could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fagron NV by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Fagron NV Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fagron NV otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fagron NV shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fagron NV otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fagron NV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Fagron NV Risk Indicators
The analysis of Fagron NV's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fagron NV's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fagron otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.4542 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.8 | |||
| Variance | 3.25 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Fagron NV
The number of cover stories for Fagron NV depends on current market conditions and Fagron NV's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fagron NV is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fagron NV's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Fagron NV Short Properties
Fagron NV's future price predictability will typically decrease when Fagron NV's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fagron NV often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fagron NV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fagron NV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividends Paid | 13 M | |
| Shares Float | 66.4 M |
Other Information on Investing in Fagron OTC Stock
Fagron NV financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fagron OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fagron with respect to the benefits of owning Fagron NV security.