ASA Gold Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| ASA Stock | USD 73.61 2.11 2.95% |
ASA Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast ASA Gold stock prices and determine the direction of ASA Gold and's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ASA Gold's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of ASA Gold's share price is above 70 at this time. This suggests that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling ASA, making its price go up or down. Momentum 76
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 6.766 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.125 |
Using ASA Gold hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ASA Gold and from the perspective of ASA Gold response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards ASA Gold using ASA Gold's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards ASA using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of ASA Gold's stock price.
ASA Gold Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in ASA Gold's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards ASA. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of ASA Gold stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 34.0795 | Short Percent 0.0067 | Short Ratio 0.47 | Shares Short Prior Month 43.2 K | 50 Day MA 45.29 |
ASA Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of ASA Gold and on the next trading day is expected to be 73.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 76.14.ASA Gold Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to ASA Gold's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in ASA. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding ASA can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around ASA Gold and. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of ASA Gold's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about ASA Gold.
ASA Gold Implied Volatility | 0.6 |
ASA Gold's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of ASA Gold and stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if ASA Gold's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that ASA Gold stock will not fluctuate a lot when ASA Gold's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of ASA Gold and on the next trading day is expected to be 73.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 76.14. ASA Gold after-hype prediction price | USD 74.04 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ASA Gold to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current ASA contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that ASA Gold and will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0375% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With ASA Gold trading at USD 73.61, that is roughly USD 0.0276 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating ASA Gold's daily price movement you should consider acquiring ASA Gold and options at the current volatility level of 0.6%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 ASA Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast ASA Gold's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in ASA Gold's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for ASA Gold stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current ASA Gold's open interest, investors have to compare it to ASA Gold's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of ASA Gold is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in ASA. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
ASA Gold Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ASA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ASA using various technical indicators. When you analyze ASA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
ASA Gold Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of ASA Gold and on the next trading day is expected to be 73.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.29, mean absolute percentage error of 2.90, and the sum of the absolute errors of 76.14.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ASA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ASA Gold's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
ASA Gold Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest ASA Gold | ASA Gold Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
ASA Gold Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting ASA Gold's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ASA Gold's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 71.18 and 76.04, respectively. We have considered ASA Gold's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ASA Gold stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ASA Gold stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.5007 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.6991 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.2906 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0228 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 76.145 |
Predictive Modules for ASA Gold
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ASA Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ASA Gold's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ASA Gold After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ASA Gold at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ASA Gold or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ASA Gold, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ASA Gold Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ASA Gold's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ASA Gold's historical news coverage. ASA Gold's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 71.60 and 76.48, respectively. We have considered ASA Gold's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ASA Gold is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ASA Gold is based on 3 months time horizon.
ASA Gold Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ASA Gold is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ASA Gold backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ASA Gold, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.81 | 2.43 | 0.42 | 0.05 | 11 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
73.61 | 74.04 | 0.58 |
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ASA Gold Hype Timeline
On the 26th of January ASA Gold is traded for 73.61. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.42, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. ASA is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 74.04 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.58%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.81%. The volatility of related hype on ASA Gold is about 4050.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 73.56. The company reported the last year's revenue of 118.94 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 115.3 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 3.98 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ASA Gold to cross-verify your projections.ASA Gold Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ASA Gold's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ASA Gold's future price movements. Getting to know how ASA Gold's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ASA Gold may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BCSF | Bain Capital Specialty | (0.08) | 10 per month | 1.26 | (0.03) | 1.93 | (1.87) | 6.32 | |
| KBDC | Kayne Anderson BDC | 0.18 | 7 per month | 1.12 | 0.04 | 2.84 | (2.35) | 6.04 | |
| CGBD | Carlyle Secured Lending | 0.21 | 9 per month | 1.23 | 0.02 | 2.23 | (2.09) | 5.52 | |
| PFLT | PennantPark Floating Rate | 0.10 | 11 per month | 0.69 | 0.11 | 1.95 | (1.50) | 4.17 | |
| GAINI | Gladstone Investment | 0.02 | 6 per month | 0.33 | (0.22) | 0.35 | (0.39) | 1.98 | |
| TRIN | Trinity Capital | (0.08) | 9 per month | 1.08 | 0.14 | 2.45 | (1.55) | 6.66 | |
| NMFC | New Mountain Finance | 0.13 | 5 per month | 1.01 | (0.05) | 1.66 | (1.69) | 5.28 | |
| GAM | General American Investors | (0.44) | 9 per month | 0.31 | 0.07 | 1.04 | (0.83) | 2.57 | |
| HQH | Tekla Healthcare Investors | (0.12) | 4 per month | 1.45 | 0 | 2.64 | (2.20) | 6.53 | |
| TYG | Tortoise Energy Infrastructure | (0.52) | 9 per month | 0.70 | 0.05 | 1.95 | (1.14) | 4.33 |
Other Forecasting Options for ASA Gold
For every potential investor in ASA, whether a beginner or expert, ASA Gold's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ASA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ASA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ASA Gold's price trends.ASA Gold Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ASA Gold stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ASA Gold could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ASA Gold by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ASA Gold Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ASA Gold stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ASA Gold shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ASA Gold stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ASA Gold and entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
ASA Gold Risk Indicators
The analysis of ASA Gold's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ASA Gold's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting asa stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.07 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.44 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.79 | |||
| Variance | 7.76 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.68 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.97 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.33) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for ASA Gold
The number of cover stories for ASA Gold depends on current market conditions and ASA Gold's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ASA Gold is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ASA Gold's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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ASA Gold Short Properties
ASA Gold's future price predictability will typically decrease when ASA Gold's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ASA Gold and often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ASA Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ASA Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.8 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.06 | |
| Shares Float | 12 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ASA Gold to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ASA Gold. If investors know ASA will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ASA Gold listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 6.766 | Dividend Share 0.05 | Earnings Share 13.93 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.125 |
The market value of ASA Gold is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ASA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ASA Gold's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ASA Gold's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ASA Gold's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ASA Gold's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ASA Gold's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ASA Gold is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ASA Gold's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.