Associated Banc Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| ASB Stock | USD 27.04 0.43 1.57% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Associated Banc Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 27.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.37. Associated Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Associated Banc stock prices and determine the direction of Associated Banc Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Associated Banc's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Associated Banc's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.304 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.6813 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.7 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.8289 | Wall Street Target Price 29.5 |
Using Associated Banc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Associated Banc Corp from the perspective of Associated Banc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Associated Banc using Associated Banc's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Associated using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Associated Banc's stock price.
Associated Banc Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Associated Banc's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Associated. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Associated Banc stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 24.7766 | Short Percent 0.0335 | Short Ratio 2.33 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.3 M | 50 Day MA 26.0548 |
Associated Banc Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Associated Banc's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Associated. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Associated can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Associated Banc Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Associated Banc Implied Volatility | 0.87 |
Associated Banc's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Associated Banc Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Associated Banc's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Associated Banc stock will not fluctuate a lot when Associated Banc's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Associated Banc Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 27.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.37. Associated Banc after-hype prediction price | USD 27.47 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Associated | Build AI portfolio with Associated Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Associated contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Associated Banc Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0544% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Associated Banc trading at USD 27.04, that is roughly USD 0.0147 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Associated Banc's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Associated Banc Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.87%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Associated Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Associated Banc's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Associated Banc's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Associated Banc stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Associated Banc's open interest, investors have to compare it to Associated Banc's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Associated Banc is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Associated. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Associated Banc Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Associated price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Associated using various technical indicators. When you analyze Associated charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Associated Banc Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Associated Banc Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 27.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31, mean absolute percentage error of 0.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.37.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Associated Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Associated Banc's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Associated Banc Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Associated Banc | Associated Banc Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Associated Banc Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Associated Banc's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Associated Banc's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.76 and 28.75, respectively. We have considered Associated Banc's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Associated Banc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Associated Banc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.685 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0579 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3114 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.012 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 18.375 |
Predictive Modules for Associated Banc
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Associated Banc Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Associated Banc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Associated Banc After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Associated Banc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Associated Banc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Associated Banc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Associated Banc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Associated Banc's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Associated Banc's historical news coverage. Associated Banc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.99 and 28.95, respectively. We have considered Associated Banc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Associated Banc is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Associated Banc Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Associated Banc Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Associated Banc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Associated Banc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Associated Banc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 1.49 | 0.08 | 0.06 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
27.04 | 27.47 | 0.00 |
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Associated Banc Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of January Associated Banc Corp is traded for 27.04. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Associated is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on Associated Banc is about 298.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.10. About 88.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.97. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Associated Banc Corp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.27. The entity last dividend was issued on the 1st of December 2025. The firm had 3:2 split on the 13th of May 2004. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Associated Banc to cross-verify your projections.Associated Banc Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Associated Banc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Associated Banc's future price movements. Getting to know how Associated Banc's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Associated Banc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SFBS | ServisFirst Bancshares | 0.06 | 8 per month | 1.62 | 0.06 | 3.57 | (2.47) | 8.27 | |
| AVAL | Grupo Aval | (0.01) | 9 per month | 1.47 | 0.13 | 2.79 | (2.90) | 7.37 | |
| TCBI | Texas Capital Bancshares | (0.28) | 10 per month | 1.00 | 0.18 | 3.41 | (1.82) | 7.09 | |
| BANF | BancFirst | 1.97 | 9 per month | 1.19 | (0.02) | 2.78 | (1.84) | 5.81 | |
| IBOC | International Bancshares | 0.28 | 6 per month | 1.22 | 0.02 | 2.75 | (2.01) | 7.54 | |
| IFS | Intercorp Financial Services | (0.16) | 10 per month | 1.39 | 0.08 | 3.68 | (2.88) | 5.62 | |
| WBS | Webster Financial | (0.24) | 10 per month | 0.84 | 0.16 | 2.80 | (1.70) | 5.74 | |
| CADE | Cadence Bancorp | 1.26 | 11 per month | 1.50 | 0.11 | 3.62 | (2.24) | 7.42 | |
| FFIN | First Financial Bankshares | 0.06 | 8 per month | 1.11 | 0.01 | 2.50 | (1.75) | 6.37 | |
| UCB | United Community Banks | 2.06 | 7 per month | 0.87 | 0.11 | 2.80 | (1.30) | 6.05 |
Other Forecasting Options for Associated Banc
For every potential investor in Associated, whether a beginner or expert, Associated Banc's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Associated Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Associated. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Associated Banc's price trends.Associated Banc Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Associated Banc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Associated Banc could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Associated Banc by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Associated Banc Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Associated Banc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Associated Banc shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Associated Banc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Associated Banc Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 27.04 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 27.04 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.21) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.43) |
Associated Banc Risk Indicators
The analysis of Associated Banc's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Associated Banc's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting associated stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.08 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9935 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.5 | |||
| Variance | 2.26 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.47 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.9871 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.39) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Associated Banc
The number of cover stories for Associated Banc depends on current market conditions and Associated Banc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Associated Banc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Associated Banc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Associated Banc Short Properties
Associated Banc's future price predictability will typically decrease when Associated Banc's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Associated Banc Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Associated Banc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Associated Banc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 153.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.6 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Associated Banc to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Associated Banc. If investors know Associated will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Associated Banc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.304 | Dividend Share 0.92 | Earnings Share 0.86 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.2 |
The market value of Associated Banc Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Associated that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Associated Banc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Associated Banc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Associated Banc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Associated Banc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Associated Banc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Associated Banc is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Associated Banc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.