Aberdeen Standard Fund Forecast - Naive Prediction

Aberdeen Standard Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Aberdeen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aberdeen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aberdeen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for Aberdeen Standard is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Aberdeen Standard Global value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Aberdeen Standard Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Aberdeen Standard Global on the next trading day is expected to be 23.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.28.

Aberdeen Standard Fund Forecast Pattern

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Aberdeen Standard Price Prediction

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Aberdeen Standard Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Aberdeen Standard fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Aberdeen Standard fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Aberdeen Standard Global. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Aberdeen Standard. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Aberdeen Standard

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aberdeen Standard Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 21.81 22.82 23.83 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 22.68 23.69 24.70 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 20.94 22.00 23.06 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Aberdeen Standard. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Aberdeen Standard's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Aberdeen Standard's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Aberdeen Standard Global.

Aberdeen Standard After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Aberdeen Standard Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Aberdeen Standard Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Aberdeen Standard Hype Timeline

Aberdeen Standard Global is presently traded for 22.82. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.56. Aberdeen is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.19%. %. The volatility of related hype on Aberdeen Standard is about 34.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.38. About 40.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.88. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Aberdeen Standard Global last dividend was issued on the 23rd of October 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aberdeen Standard to cross-verify your projections.

Aberdeen Standard Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Aberdeen Standard

For every potential investor in Aberdeen, whether a beginner or expert, Aberdeen Standard's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Aberdeen Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Aberdeen. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Aberdeen Standard's price trends.

Aberdeen Standard Related Equities

Risk & Return

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Aberdeen Standard Market Strength Events

Aberdeen Standard Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Aberdeen Standard

Other Information on Investing in Aberdeen Fund