Aberdeen Standard Fund Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| ASGI Fund | USD 22.82 0.28 1.24% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Aberdeen Standard Global on the next trading day is expected to be 22.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.96. Aberdeen Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Aberdeen Standard's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Aberdeen Standard's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the fund is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Aberdeen Standard hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aberdeen Standard Global from the perspective of Aberdeen Standard response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Aberdeen Standard Global on the next trading day is expected to be 22.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.96. Aberdeen Standard after-hype prediction price | USD 22.84 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Aberdeen |
Aberdeen Standard Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Aberdeen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aberdeen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aberdeen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Aberdeen Standard Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Aberdeen Standard Global on the next trading day is expected to be 22.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.96.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Aberdeen Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Aberdeen Standard's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Aberdeen Standard Fund Forecast Pattern
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Aberdeen Standard Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Aberdeen Standard's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Aberdeen Standard's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.80 and 23.84, respectively. We have considered Aberdeen Standard's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Aberdeen Standard fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Aberdeen Standard fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.6661 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0594 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2161 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.01 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.965 |
Predictive Modules for Aberdeen Standard
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aberdeen Standard Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aberdeen Standard After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Aberdeen Standard at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aberdeen Standard or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Fund prices, such as prices of Aberdeen Standard, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Aberdeen Standard Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Aberdeen Standard's fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aberdeen Standard's historical news coverage. Aberdeen Standard's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.82 and 23.86, respectively. We have considered Aberdeen Standard's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Aberdeen Standard is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aberdeen Standard Global is based on 3 months time horizon.
Aberdeen Standard Fund Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Fund such as Aberdeen Standard is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aberdeen Standard backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aberdeen Standard, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 1.02 | 0.02 | 0.56 | 4 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
22.82 | 22.84 | 0.09 |
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Aberdeen Standard Hype Timeline
Aberdeen Standard Global is presently traded for 22.82. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.56. Aberdeen is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 22.84 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Aberdeen Standard is about 34.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.38. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aberdeen Standard to cross-verify your projections.Aberdeen Standard Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Aberdeen Standard's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aberdeen Standard's future price movements. Getting to know how Aberdeen Standard's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aberdeen Standard may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ETJ | Eaton Vance Risk | 0.06 | 5 per month | 0.55 | (0.13) | 1.04 | (1.15) | 2.57 | |
| CCD | Calamos Dynamic Convertible | (0.21) | 4 per month | 0.87 | 0.04 | 1.73 | (1.57) | 4.60 | |
| NKX | Nuveen California Amt | 0.02 | 4 per month | 0.58 | (0.13) | 0.56 | (0.78) | 3.53 | |
| LDP | Cohen Steers Limited | 0.10 | 3 per month | 0.41 | (0.15) | 0.82 | (0.68) | 2.92 | |
| LVAQX | Lsv Small Cap | 29.41 | 3 per month | 0.46 | 0.12 | 2.49 | (0.92) | 7.76 | |
| AAIEX | American Beacon International | (0.02) | 3 per month | 0.41 | 0.07 | 1.42 | (0.99) | 3.37 | |
| DSU | Blackrock Debt Strategies | (0.02) | 2 per month | 0.23 | (0.12) | 0.71 | (0.58) | 1.86 | |
| WIW | Western Asset Claymore | (0.03) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.31) | 0.69 | (0.91) | 2.29 | |
| NXJ | Nuveen New Jersey | 0.08 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 0.64 | (0.56) | 2.01 | |
| NMCO | Nuveen Municipal Credit | 0.03 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 0.96 | (1.14) | 2.93 |
Other Forecasting Options for Aberdeen Standard
For every potential investor in Aberdeen, whether a beginner or expert, Aberdeen Standard's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Aberdeen Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Aberdeen. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Aberdeen Standard's price trends.Aberdeen Standard Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Aberdeen Standard fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Aberdeen Standard could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aberdeen Standard by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Aberdeen Standard Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Aberdeen Standard fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Aberdeen Standard shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Aberdeen Standard fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Aberdeen Standard Global entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 3007.71 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.7368 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 22.7 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 22.74 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.26 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.28 |
Aberdeen Standard Risk Indicators
The analysis of Aberdeen Standard's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Aberdeen Standard's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aberdeen fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7099 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9761 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9749 | |||
| Variance | 0.9505 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.42 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.9527 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.74) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Aberdeen Standard
The number of cover stories for Aberdeen Standard depends on current market conditions and Aberdeen Standard's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aberdeen Standard is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aberdeen Standard's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Aberdeen Fund
Aberdeen Standard financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aberdeen Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aberdeen with respect to the benefits of owning Aberdeen Standard security.
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