Ashtrom Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

ASHG Stock  ILS 7,607  135.00  1.81%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Ashtrom Group on the next trading day is expected to be 7,520 with a mean absolute deviation of 283.73 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17,591. Ashtrom Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Ashtrom stock prices and determine the direction of Ashtrom Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Ashtrom's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, The value of RSI of Ashtrom's share price is at 53. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Ashtrom, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 53

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Ashtrom's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ashtrom Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Ashtrom hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ashtrom Group from the perspective of Ashtrom response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Ashtrom Group on the next trading day is expected to be 7,520 with a mean absolute deviation of 283.73 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17,591.

Ashtrom after-hype prediction price

    
  ILA 7607.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ashtrom to cross-verify your projections.

Ashtrom Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Ashtrom price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ashtrom using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ashtrom charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Ashtrom price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Ashtrom Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Ashtrom Group on the next trading day is expected to be 7,520 with a mean absolute deviation of 283.73, mean absolute percentage error of 104,657, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17,591.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ashtrom Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ashtrom's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Ashtrom Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest AshtromAshtrom Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Ashtrom Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Ashtrom's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ashtrom's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7,517 and 7,522, respectively. We have considered Ashtrom's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
7,607
7,520
Expected Value
7,522
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ashtrom stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ashtrom stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria131.5068
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation283.731
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.038
SAESum of the absolute errors17591.3247
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Ashtrom Group historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Ashtrom

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ashtrom Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7,6057,6077,609
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7,5517,5548,368
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
6,7527,5168,279
Details

Ashtrom After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Ashtrom at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ashtrom or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ashtrom, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Ashtrom Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Ashtrom's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ashtrom's historical news coverage. Ashtrom's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7,605 and 7,609, respectively. We have considered Ashtrom's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
7,607
7,607
After-hype Price
7,609
Upside
Ashtrom is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ashtrom Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

Ashtrom Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ashtrom is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ashtrom backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ashtrom, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.01 
2.36
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
7,607
7,607
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Ashtrom Hype Timeline

Ashtrom Group is presently traded for 7,607on Tel Aviv Stock Exchange of Israel. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Ashtrom is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ashtrom is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7,607. About 62.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.58. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ashtrom Group has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 631.51. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 9.69. The firm last dividend was issued on the 6th of September 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ashtrom to cross-verify your projections.

Ashtrom Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Ashtrom's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ashtrom's future price movements. Getting to know how Ashtrom's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ashtrom may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Ashtrom

For every potential investor in Ashtrom, whether a beginner or expert, Ashtrom's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ashtrom Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ashtrom. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ashtrom's price trends.

Ashtrom Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ashtrom stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ashtrom could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ashtrom by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Ashtrom Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ashtrom stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ashtrom shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ashtrom stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ashtrom Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Ashtrom Risk Indicators

The analysis of Ashtrom's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ashtrom's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ashtrom stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Ashtrom

The number of cover stories for Ashtrom depends on current market conditions and Ashtrom's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ashtrom is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ashtrom's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Ashtrom Stock

Ashtrom financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ashtrom Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ashtrom with respect to the benefits of owning Ashtrom security.