Athene Holding Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

ATHS Stock   25.17  0.03  0.12%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Athene Holding Ltd on the next trading day is expected to be 25.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.95. Athene Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of Athene Holding's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Athene Holding's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Athene Holding and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Athene Holding's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Athene Holding Ltd, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Athene Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Athene Holding Ltd from the perspective of Athene Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Athene Holding Ltd on the next trading day is expected to be 25.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.95.

Athene Holding after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 25.17  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Athene Holding to cross-verify your projections.
Asset Turnover is likely to gain to 0.08 in 2026. Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 219.7 M in 2026.

Athene Holding Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Athene price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Athene using various technical indicators. When you analyze Athene charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Triple exponential smoothing for Athene Holding - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Athene Holding prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Athene Holding price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Athene Holding.

Athene Holding Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 17th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Athene Holding Ltd on the next trading day is expected to be 25.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.95.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Athene Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Athene Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Athene Holding Stock Forecast Pattern

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Athene Holding Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Athene Holding's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Athene Holding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.93 and 25.44, respectively. We have considered Athene Holding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
25.17
25.18
Expected Value
25.44
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Athene Holding stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Athene Holding stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0079
MADMean absolute deviation0.05
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.002
SAESum of the absolute errors2.9486
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Athene Holding observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Athene Holding Ltd observations.

Predictive Modules for Athene Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Athene Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.9125.1725.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.5524.8127.69
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Athene Holding. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Athene Holding's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Athene Holding's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Athene Holding.

Other Forecasting Options for Athene Holding

For every potential investor in Athene, whether a beginner or expert, Athene Holding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Athene Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Athene. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Athene Holding's price trends.

Athene Holding Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Athene Holding stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Athene Holding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Athene Holding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Athene Holding Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Athene Holding's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Athene Holding's current price.

Athene Holding Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Athene Holding stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Athene Holding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Athene Holding stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Athene Holding Ltd entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Athene Holding Risk Indicators

The analysis of Athene Holding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Athene Holding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting athene stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Athene Stock Analysis

When running Athene Holding's price analysis, check to measure Athene Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Athene Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Athene Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Athene Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Athene Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Athene Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.