Lincoln National Stock Price Prediction
| LNC Stock | USD 35.34 0.52 1.49% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
61
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.736 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.82 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.2953 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.6761 | Wall Street Target Price 35.6364 |
Using Lincoln National hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lincoln National from the perspective of Lincoln National response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Lincoln National Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Lincoln National's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Lincoln. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Lincoln can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Lincoln National. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Lincoln National's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Lincoln National.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lincoln National to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lincoln because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Lincoln National after-hype prediction price | USD 35.29 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Lincoln |
Lincoln National After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lincoln National at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lincoln National or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lincoln National, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lincoln National Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lincoln National's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lincoln National's historical news coverage. Lincoln National's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 32.81 and 37.77, respectively. We have considered Lincoln National's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lincoln National is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lincoln National is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lincoln National Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lincoln National is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lincoln National backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lincoln National, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 2.48 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
35.34 | 35.29 | 0.14 |
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Lincoln National Hype Timeline
On the 25th of November Lincoln National is traded for 35.34. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Lincoln is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 35.29. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Lincoln National is about 16533.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 35.34. About 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.75. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Lincoln National has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.24. The entity last dividend was issued on the 10th of January 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 22nd of June 1999. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Lincoln National Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Lincoln National Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lincoln National's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lincoln National's future price movements. Getting to know how Lincoln National's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lincoln National may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MSTSX | Morningstar Unconstrained Allocation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.50 | (0.13) | 1.21 | (1.02) | 2.80 | |
| VIASP | Via Renewables | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.05 | (0.02) | 2.28 | (1.15) | 7.18 | |
| SITKF | Sitka Gold Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.02 | 0.14 | 14.29 | (9.09) | 32.64 | |
| RWAYL | MSCI ACWI exAUCONSUMER | 0.17 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.48) | 0.32 | (0.20) | 1.21 | |
| SEGI | Sycamore Entmt Grp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 10.74 | 0.16 | 33.33 | (25.00) | 63.33 | |
| BMBRF | Bim Birlesik Magazalar | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 68.94 | |
| SEIC | SEI Investments | (0.05) | 11 per month | 0.61 | 0.13 | 1.57 | (1.56) | 7.23 | |
| MSTRX | Morningstar Total Return | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.58) | 0.45 | (0.56) | 1.44 |
Lincoln National Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lincoln price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lincoln using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lincoln charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Lincoln National Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Lincoln National stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lincoln National, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lincoln National based on analysis of Lincoln National hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lincoln National's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lincoln National's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.059 | 0.0846 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.28 | 0.39 |
Story Coverage note for Lincoln National
The number of cover stories for Lincoln National depends on current market conditions and Lincoln National's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lincoln National is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lincoln National's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Lincoln National Short Properties
Lincoln National's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lincoln National's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lincoln National often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lincoln National's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lincoln National's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 169.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.4 B |
Complementary Tools for Lincoln Stock analysis
When running Lincoln National's price analysis, check to measure Lincoln National's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lincoln National is operating at the current time. Most of Lincoln National's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lincoln National's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lincoln National's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lincoln National to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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