Atlantic International Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| ATLN Stock | 3.39 0.09 2.59% |
Atlantic Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Atlantic International's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Atlantic International's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Atlantic International fundamentals over time.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Atlantic International's stock price is about 62. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Atlantic, making its price go up or down. Momentum 62
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.14) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.80) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.61) | Wall Street Target Price 6 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.18) |
Using Atlantic International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Atlantic International Corp from the perspective of Atlantic International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Atlantic International Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 3.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.72. Atlantic International after-hype prediction price | USD 3.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Atlantic International to cross-verify your projections. Atlantic International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Atlantic price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Atlantic using various technical indicators. When you analyze Atlantic charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Atlantic International Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Atlantic International Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 3.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.72.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Atlantic Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Atlantic International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Atlantic International Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Atlantic International | Atlantic International Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Atlantic International Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Atlantic International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Atlantic International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 14.69, respectively. We have considered Atlantic International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Atlantic International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Atlantic International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.0352 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0102 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.143 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.066 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.72 |
Predictive Modules for Atlantic International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Atlantic International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Atlantic International After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Atlantic International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Atlantic International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Atlantic International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Atlantic International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Atlantic International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Atlantic International's historical news coverage. Atlantic International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.16 and 14.44, respectively. We have considered Atlantic International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Atlantic International is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Atlantic International is based on 3 months time horizon.
Atlantic International Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Atlantic International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Atlantic International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Atlantic International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.98 | 11.30 | 0.25 | 0.07 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.39 | 3.14 | 7.37 |
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Atlantic International Hype Timeline
Atlantic International is presently traded for 3.39. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.25, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Atlantic is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 3.14. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -7.37%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.98%. The volatility of related hype on Atlantic International is about 15915.49%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.46. About 93.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 2.23. Atlantic International had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:40 split on the 31st of August 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Atlantic International to cross-verify your projections.Atlantic International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Atlantic International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Atlantic International's future price movements. Getting to know how Atlantic International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Atlantic International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AVR | Anteris Technologies Global | (0.11) | 11 per month | 3.55 | 0.08 | 9.42 | (6.08) | 25.09 | |
| CYBN | Cybin Inc | (0.15) | 9 per month | 3.57 | 0.07 | 6.06 | (7.30) | 18.15 | |
| PRE | Prenetics Global | (0.05) | 9 per month | 5.38 | 0.07 | 11.20 | (7.28) | 22.43 | |
| SAVA | Cassava Sciences | (0.19) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 9.05 | (7.56) | 35.02 | |
| STIM | Neuronetics | 0.06 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 10.55 | (9.09) | 28.95 | |
| PEPG | PepGen | 0.69 | 7 per month | 6.03 | 0.06 | 10.32 | (9.44) | 31.03 | |
| SXTC | China SXT Pharmaceuticals | 0.07 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 16.90 | (28.57) | 106.52 | |
| MIST | Milestone Pharmaceuticals | 0.15 | 9 per month | 4.16 | 0.02 | 6.15 | (5.80) | 34.31 | |
| NKTX | Nkarta Inc | (0.07) | 6 per month | 2.94 | 0.0001 | 4.31 | (4.83) | 12.70 | |
| IMDX | Insight Molecular Diagnostics | 0.31 | 8 per month | 4.49 | 0.03 | 9.03 | (6.67) | 22.08 |
Other Forecasting Options for Atlantic International
For every potential investor in Atlantic, whether a beginner or expert, Atlantic International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Atlantic Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Atlantic. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Atlantic International's price trends.Atlantic International Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Atlantic International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Atlantic International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Atlantic International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Atlantic International Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Atlantic International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Atlantic International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Atlantic International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Atlantic International Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Atlantic International Risk Indicators
The analysis of Atlantic International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Atlantic International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting atlantic stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 6.84 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.72 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 10.87 | |||
| Variance | 118.25 | |||
| Downside Variance | 57.34 | |||
| Semi Variance | 45.1 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (8.26) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Atlantic International
The number of cover stories for Atlantic International depends on current market conditions and Atlantic International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Atlantic International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Atlantic International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Atlantic International Short Properties
Atlantic International's future price predictability will typically decrease when Atlantic International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Atlantic International Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Atlantic International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Atlantic International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 36.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 678.7 K |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Atlantic International to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Will Life Sciences Tools & Services sector continue expanding? Could Atlantic diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Atlantic International. If investors know Atlantic will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Atlantic International data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share (2.23) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.022 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Atlantic International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Atlantic that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Atlantic International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Atlantic International's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Atlantic International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Atlantic International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Atlantic International's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Atlantic International represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Atlantic International's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.