ATN International Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

ATNI Stock  USD 22.39  0.40  1.82%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of ATN International on the next trading day is expected to be 22.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.58 and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.24. ATN Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ATN International's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 8th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of ATN International's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of ATN International's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ATN International, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting ATN International's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.57)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.02)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.10)
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.36
Wall Street Target Price
39
Using ATN International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ATN International from the perspective of ATN International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards ATN International using ATN International's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards ATN using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of ATN International's stock price.

ATN International Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in ATN International's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards ATN. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of ATN International stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
17.3526
Short Percent
0.0149
Short Ratio
2.11
Shares Short Prior Month
125.3 K
50 Day MA
20.0586

ATN International Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to ATN International's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in ATN. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding ATN can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around ATN International. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of ATN International's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about ATN International.

ATN International Implied Volatility

    
  1.52  
ATN International's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of ATN International stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if ATN International's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that ATN International stock will not fluctuate a lot when ATN International's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of ATN International on the next trading day is expected to be 22.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.58 and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.24.

ATN International after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 22.04  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ATN International to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in ATN Stock please use our How to Invest in ATN International guide.As of now, ATN International's Asset Turnover is decreasing as compared to previous years. . The ATN International's current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 13.9 M, while Net Loss is forecasted to increase to (4.8 M).

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 ATN Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast ATN International's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in ATN International's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for ATN International stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current ATN International's open interest, investors have to compare it to ATN International's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of ATN International is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in ATN. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

ATN International Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine ATN price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ATN using various technical indicators. When you analyze ATN charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

ATN International Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the ATN International's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1992-03-31
Previous Quarter
99 M
Current Value
106.2 M
Quarterly Volatility
110.5 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for ATN International is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of ATN International value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

ATN International Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 9th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of ATN International on the next trading day is expected to be 22.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.58, mean absolute percentage error of 0.63, and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.24.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ATN Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ATN International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ATN International Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest ATN InternationalATN International Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

ATN International Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ATN International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ATN International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 19.52 and 25.99, respectively. We have considered ATN International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
22.39
22.75
Expected Value
25.99
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ATN International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ATN International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.6432
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.5777
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0336
SAESum of the absolute errors35.2413
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of ATN International. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict ATN International. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for ATN International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ATN International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.8022.0425.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.7926.7329.97
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
35.4939.0043.29
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.040.040.04
Details

Other Forecasting Options for ATN International

For every potential investor in ATN, whether a beginner or expert, ATN International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ATN Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ATN. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ATN International's price trends.

ATN International Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ATN International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ATN International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ATN International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ATN International Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ATN International's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ATN International's current price.

ATN International Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ATN International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ATN International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ATN International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ATN International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ATN International Risk Indicators

The analysis of ATN International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ATN International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting atn stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether ATN International offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of ATN International's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Atn International Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Atn International Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ATN International to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in ATN Stock please use our How to Invest in ATN International guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Diversified Telecommunication Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ATN International. If investors know ATN will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ATN International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.57)
Dividend Share
1.03
Earnings Share
(0.92)
Revenue Per Share
47.711
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.026
The market value of ATN International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ATN that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ATN International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ATN International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ATN International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ATN International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ATN International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ATN International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ATN International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.