Aura Minerals Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution
| AUGO Stock | 73.00 7.01 10.62% |
Aura Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Aura Minerals' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Aura Minerals' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Aura Minerals fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength momentum indicator of Aura Minerals' share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year 1.27 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.325 | Wall Street Target Price 40.225 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.587 |
Using Aura Minerals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aura Minerals Common from the perspective of Aura Minerals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Aura Minerals using Aura Minerals' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Aura using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Aura Minerals' stock price.
Aura Minerals Short Interest
An investor who is long Aura Minerals may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Aura Minerals and may potentially protect profits, hedge Aura Minerals with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 30.8625 | Short Ratio 0.8 | Shares Short Prior Month 676.6 K | 50 Day MA 33.955 | Shares Short 1.1 M |
Aura Relative Strength Index
Aura Minerals Common Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Aura Minerals' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Aura. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Aura can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Aura Minerals Common. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Aura Minerals' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Aura Minerals.
Aura Minerals Implied Volatility | 0.87 |
Aura Minerals' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Aura Minerals Common stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Aura Minerals' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Aura Minerals stock will not fluctuate a lot when Aura Minerals' options are near their expiration.
Aura Minerals after-hype prediction price | USD 73.97 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aura Minerals to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Aura contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Aura Minerals Common will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0544% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Aura Minerals trading at USD 73.0, that is roughly USD 0.0397 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Aura Minerals' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Aura Minerals Common options at the current volatility level of 0.87%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Aura Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Aura Minerals' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Aura Minerals' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Aura Minerals stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Aura Minerals' open interest, investors have to compare it to Aura Minerals' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Aura Minerals is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Aura. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Aura Minerals Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Aura price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aura using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aura charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 22220.7 | 105546.0 |
| Check Aura Minerals Volatility | Backtest Aura Minerals | Information Ratio |
Aura Minerals Trading Date Momentum
| On February 09 2026 Aura Minerals Common was traded for 73.00 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 73.09 and the lowest listed price was 66.93 . The trading volume for the day was 1.3 M. The trading history from February 9, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 8.30% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Aura Minerals to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Aura Minerals
For every potential investor in Aura, whether a beginner or expert, Aura Minerals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Aura Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Aura. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Aura Minerals' price trends.Aura Minerals Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Aura Minerals stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Aura Minerals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aura Minerals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Aura Minerals Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Aura Minerals stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Aura Minerals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Aura Minerals stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Aura Minerals Common entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 105546.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.137987 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.11 | |||
| Day Median Price | 70.01 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 71.01 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 6.49 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 7.01 |
Aura Minerals Risk Indicators
The analysis of Aura Minerals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Aura Minerals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aura stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.95 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.15 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.91 | |||
| Variance | 15.29 | |||
| Downside Variance | 16.02 | |||
| Semi Variance | 9.91 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.60) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Aura Minerals
The number of cover stories for Aura Minerals depends on current market conditions and Aura Minerals' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aura Minerals is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aura Minerals' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Aura Minerals Short Properties
Aura Minerals' future price predictability will typically decrease when Aura Minerals' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Aura Minerals Common often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Aura Minerals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aura Minerals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 72.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 270.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aura Minerals to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Will Metals & Mining sector continue expanding? Could Aura diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aura Minerals. If investors know Aura will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Aura Minerals data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Dividend Share 1.46 | Earnings Share (0.55) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.587 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Aura Minerals Common using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Aura Minerals' intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Aura Minerals' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Aura Minerals' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Aura Minerals represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Aura Minerals' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.