Aurelia Metals Pink Sheet Forward View

Aurelia Metals Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Aurelia price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aurelia using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aurelia charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for Aurelia Metals is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Aurelia Metals Limited value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Aurelia Metals Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 7th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Aurelia Metals Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.68.

Aurelia Metals Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Aurelia Metals Price Prediction

Research Analysis

Aurelia Metals Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Aurelia Metals pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Aurelia Metals pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Aurelia Metals Limited. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Aurelia Metals. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Aurelia Metals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aurelia Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 0.01 0.23 8.81 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 0.01 0.21 8.79 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 0.12 0.18 0.25 Details

Aurelia Metals After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Aurelia Metals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Aurelia Metals Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Aurelia Metals Hype Timeline

Aurelia Metals is presently traded for 0.23. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Aurelia is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.87%. %. The volatility of related hype on Aurelia Metals is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.23. About 22.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.56. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Aurelia Metals last dividend was issued on the 17th of September 2020. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aurelia Metals to cross-verify your projections.

Aurelia Metals Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Aurelia Metals

For every potential investor in Aurelia, whether a beginner or expert, Aurelia Metals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Aurelia Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Aurelia. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Aurelia Metals' price trends.

Aurelia Metals Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Aurelia Metals Market Strength Events

Aurelia Metals Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Aurelia Metals

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Other Information on Investing in Aurelia Pink Sheet