Avient Corp Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| AVNT Stock | USD 37.40 0.24 0.64% |
Avient Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Avient Corp's stock price is slightly above 69. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Avient, making its price go up or down. Momentum 69
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.13) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.5405 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.8126 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.0507 | Wall Street Target Price 41.75 |
Using Avient Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Avient Corp from the perspective of Avient Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Avient Corp using Avient Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Avient using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Avient Corp's stock price.
Avient Corp Short Interest
An investor who is long Avient Corp may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Avient Corp and may potentially protect profits, hedge Avient Corp with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 33.5188 | Short Percent 0.0377 | Short Ratio 3.41 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.5 M | 50 Day MA 31.6348 |
Avient Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Avient Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 38.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.91.Avient Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Avient Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Avient. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Avient can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Avient Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Avient Corp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Avient Corp.
Avient Corp Implied Volatility | 1.11 |
Avient Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Avient Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Avient Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Avient Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Avient Corp's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Avient Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 38.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.91. Avient Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 37.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Avient Corp to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Avient contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Avient Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0694% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Avient Corp trading at USD 37.4, that is roughly USD 0.0259 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Avient Corp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Avient Corp options at the current volatility level of 1.11%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Avient Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Avient Corp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Avient Corp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Avient Corp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Avient Corp's open interest, investors have to compare it to Avient Corp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Avient Corp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Avient. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Avient Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Avient price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Avient using various technical indicators. When you analyze Avient charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Avient Corp's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2000-09-30 | Previous Quarter 474.5 M | Current Value 445.6 M | Quarterly Volatility 281.3 M |
Avient Corp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Avient Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 38.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49, mean absolute percentage error of 0.38, and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.91.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Avient Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Avient Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Avient Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Avient Corp | Avient Corp Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Avient Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Avient Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Avient Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 36.96 and 40.82, respectively. We have considered Avient Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Avient Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Avient Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.1501 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4904 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0158 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 29.9141 |
Predictive Modules for Avient Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Avient Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Avient Corp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Avient Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Avient Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Avient Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Avient Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Avient Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Avient Corp's historical news coverage. Avient Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 35.48 and 39.32, respectively. We have considered Avient Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Avient Corp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Avient Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Avient Corp Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Avient Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Avient Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Avient Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 1.93 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 11 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
37.40 | 37.40 | 0.00 |
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Avient Corp Hype Timeline
Avient Corp is presently traded for 37.40. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Avient is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.26%. %. The volatility of related hype on Avient Corp is about 784.55%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 37.46. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.44. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Avient Corp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.24. The entity last dividend was issued on the 12th of December 2025. The firm had 3:2 split on the 18th of June 1996. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Avient Corp to cross-verify your projections.Avient Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Avient Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Avient Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Avient Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Avient Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FUL | H B Fuller | 0.19 | 4 per month | 1.53 | (0.02) | 3.48 | (2.38) | 8.23 | |
| HWKN | Hawkins | (1.22) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.29 | (4.40) | 10.09 | |
| WDFC | WD 40 Company | 0.19 | 4 per month | 1.91 | 0.06 | 2.86 | (2.98) | 10.75 | |
| CBT | Cabot | 0.19 | 12 per month | 1.87 | 0.0003 | 3.72 | (2.71) | 8.68 | |
| CENX | Century Aluminum | 0.19 | 8 per month | 4.02 | 0.13 | 6.70 | (6.55) | 27.76 | |
| PRM | Perimeter Solutions SA | (0.11) | 10 per month | 2.44 | 0.1 | 3.38 | (3.85) | 30.19 | |
| OLN | Olin Corporation | 3.21 | 8 per month | 3.19 | 0.01 | 5.76 | (4.57) | 18.23 | |
| MEOH | Methanex | (0.05) | 27 per month | 1.36 | 0.18 | 3.94 | (2.58) | 21.41 | |
| ASH | Ashland Global Holdings | 0.19 | 4 per month | 1.34 | 0.14 | 4.54 | (2.64) | 13.67 | |
| SXT | Sensient Technologies | (0.32) | 10 per month | 1.76 | (0.04) | 2.93 | (2.57) | 9.55 |
Other Forecasting Options for Avient Corp
For every potential investor in Avient, whether a beginner or expert, Avient Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Avient Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Avient. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Avient Corp's price trends.Avient Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Avient Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Avient Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Avient Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Avient Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Avient Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Avient Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Avient Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Avient Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Avient Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Avient Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Avient Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting avient stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.37 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.88 | |||
| Variance | 3.54 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.96 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.87 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.52) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Avient Corp
The number of cover stories for Avient Corp depends on current market conditions and Avient Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Avient Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Avient Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Avient Corp Short Properties
Avient Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Avient Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Avient Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Avient Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Avient Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 92 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 544.5 M |
Additional Tools for Avient Stock Analysis
When running Avient Corp's price analysis, check to measure Avient Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Avient Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Avient Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Avient Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Avient Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Avient Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.